The Ultimate Futures timing service, currency timing, market timing, results

If one is looking for total safety one should chain oneself to ones bed and never leave; one can only make money if one takes a risk. Sol Palha

Results from Dec2010-Dec 2011

2011 turned out to be an incredibly strong year for us. Our disciplined approach continues to generate an ever increasing number of wining trades. What makes our methodology so robust is that we maximize our wins and do our best to minimize our losses. This can clearly be seen by looking at our win ratio for the past few years. Losing trades are widely spaced and this is important because a series of loses can affect a traders mindset and push him or her to sit out for an extended period of time. During this sit out period the individual sacrifices a huge amount of potential profit. Our system is designed with several warning trigger points that give us an advance warning signal of trade turning on us; once this signal flashes we usually take defensive action and in this manner are able to get out of many tricky positions with a profit.

Velocity Portfolio

Symbol	Entry date	Entry price	Exit price	Comments
Euro March 2011	Dec 2010	130.80	132.00	Sold within 2 days of opening trade for a profit of $1500 per contract. (Jan 2011)
Short Yen March 2011	Jan 2011	123.00	120.00	Sold for a profit of $3750 per contract (Dec 2010).
Dollar March 2011	Jan 2011	78.10	76.50	½ a position at 78.40 and second half at 77.80. We were stopped out for a loss of 1600 per contract (March 2011)
Short March Swiss franc	Jan 2011	106.50	105.20	Place a stop at 107.80 Sold for a profit of $1600 per contract (Jan 2011)
Short March Sugar	Jan 2011	33.90	31.00	Sold at 31 for a profit of 3300 ( Feb 2011)
Short March Yen	Jan 2011	122.80	121.60	Sold at 121.60 for a profit of 1500 per contract (Feb 2011).
Short March Franc	Feb 2011	106.30	107.20-107.30	Stopped out for a loss of roughly 1100-1250 per contract ( Feb 2011)
Short June Yen	May 2011	123.70	123.70	Intra day stop was hit. Break even trade (May 2011)
Short Sept Oz dollar	June 2011	105.10	103.60	Sold for a gain of 1500 per contract (June 2011)
Short August Copper	June 2011	417.50	408.50	Sold for a profit of 2375 per contract. (June 2011)
Short Oct Sugar	June 2011	25.60	26.50	Sold for a loss of roughly $1008 dollars per contract (July 2011).
Short Aug Copper	June 2011	424	430	Stopped for a loss of roughly 1500 per contract (July 2011)
Short Dec Yen	Sept 2011	129.30-129.50	126.40	Rolled over from Sept to Dec contract. We were filled on the Sept contract in July. Sold for a gain of $3750 (Nov 2011)
Dec Cocoa	Sept 2011	29.60	28.10	Sold for a loss of 1500 per contract (Sept 2011)
Short Dec Yen	Sept 2011	131.30	130.30	Sold for a gain of $1250 in less than 3 days. Sept 2011
Short Dec Yen 11	Sept 2011	131.30	130.70	Held for one day only. Sold for a gain of $750 (Sept 2011)
Short Dec Dow	Oct 2011	11350	11780	Sold for a loss of $2150 per contract (Nov 2011)
Short Dec Yen	Oct 2011	132.00	131.50	Sold for a gain of $625 per contract (Oct 2011)
Short Dec Dow	Nov 2011	11860	11780	Sold for a gain of $400 per contract (Nov 2011)
Short Euro Dec	Nov 2011	137.40	137.40	Break even (Nov 2011)
Short Dec Euro	Nov 2011	138.50	137.40	Sold for a gain of $1375 per contract (Nov 2011)
Long Dec dollar	Nov 2011	76.30	77.10	Sold for a gain of $800 per contract (Nov 2011)
Short Dec Yen	Nov 2011	132	126.40	Sold for a gain of $7000 per contract (Nov 2011)
Short March Mini SPX	Dec 2011	1263	1249	Sold for a profit of $700 per contract in less than 2 days. (Dec 2011)
Short March Soybeans	Dec 2011	1217	1200	Sold for a profit of $850 per contract (Jan 2012)

Break down of results

26 trades

20 wins

6 losses

26 trades were issued under the Velocity portfolio. 20 of these trades were winners and only 6 were losers. This gives us a win ratio of 77%. The losses were also widely spread. We never had one back to back loss but we had a series of back to back winners. Furthermore the dollar amount lost was small when compared to the huge profits we locked in from our winners. We started to issue trades slowly towards the end of the year as we were updating our systems to take in the new readings coming of our proprietary V indicator; had we not done this our win ratio would have probably be in the high 80’S.

Special Situations Portfolio

The selection process is a little different from the one employed for the velocity portfolio. This portfolio takes on a bit more risk and traders should be willing to do a little bit of leg work. The extra leg work is minor as we usually monitor this portfolio as closely as the Main portfolio. This is clearly evidenced by the high win ratio this portfolio has achieved over the years.

Symbol	Entry date	Entry price	Exit price	Comments
March 25, Sugar 2011 put	Dec 2010	32 ticks	64 ticks	Purchased for 32 ticks and sold for 64 ticks. Net profit was 32 tricks which translate into $360 per option. (Jan 2011)
Short Soybeans	Jan 2011	1424	1424	Stopped at 1424 for a break even (Jan 2010)
Short March cotton	Jan 2011	155-156	160	Stopped out at 160 for a loss of 2000-2500 per contract. (Jan 2011)
Short March copper	Jan 2011	345	351.60-352	Stop at 351 hit. Exited in the 351.60-352 ranges for a loss of roughly 1750 per contract. Jan 2011
Short March Soybeans	Feb 2011	1440	1425	Sold at 1425 for a profit of 750 per contract (Feb 2011)
Short March Coffee 2011	March 2011	269	264-274	1^st position at 264 and 2^nd position at 274. Sold at 268.50 for a small profit. March 2011
Short June Oz dollar	April 2011	102.00	102.00	Sold for a break even. Signal changed and we were triggered out this trade a day later and managed to escape taking on a loss of over 1200 per position. (April 2011).
Short June Euro 2011	April 2011	145.75	145.20-145.30	Sold for a profit of between 500-625 two days later. (April 2011)
July Soybean	April 2011	1365	1390	Sold for a profit of 800 per contract. (May 2011)
Short June Yen	May 2011	124.43	123.80-124.43	Sold ½ at 123.80 for a profit of $780. Broke even on the second half when stop at 124.43 was hit.(May 2011)
Short Aug Gold	June 2011	1548	1528	Sold for a profit of 2000 per contract. We were in and out of this trade in less than 5 days. (June 2011)
Short Oct Sugar	June 2011	24.90	26.50	Sold for a loss of 1790 per contract (July 2011)
Short August Gold	June 2011	1540	1520	Sold for a profit of 2000 per contract. (June 2011)
Short Sept Wheat	Aug 2011	750	710-715	Sold for a profit of 1750-2000 (Aug 2011)
Long Sept Cocoa	Aug 2011	2860	2970	Sold for a profit of 1100 per contract. (Sept 2011)
Short Oct Sugar	Aug 2011	31.70	29.50	Locked in profits of 2350 in just one day. (Aug 2011)
Sugar Oct 2011 (filled Sept 2011)	Oct 2011	28.00	28.00	Break even (Sept 2011)
Cotton Dec (filled Oct 2011)	Oct 2011	98.50	103.30	Sold for a gain of 2400 per contract (Oct 2011)
Short Dec Yen	Oct 2011	128.50	129.80	Sold for a profit of 1625 per contract.
Short Dec Bonds (Filled Nov 2011)	Nov 2011	144.22	144.00	Sold for a profit of $682 in less than 3 days (Nov 2011)
Yen Dec 2011 (Dec 2011)	Dec 2011	128.07	12921-129.17	Sold half at 129.21 for a profit of 1400 per contract. Sold second half at 129.17 for a profit of 1350 per contract. (Dec 2011)
Short Dec Dow (Dec 2011)	Dec 2011	12190	12060-12080	Sold for a gain of $650 per contract (Dec 2011).
Short March bonds (filled Dec 2011)	Dec 2011	146.05	143.25	Sold for a profit of 2200 per contract. (Dec 2011)
Short March Corn (filled Dec 2011)	Dec 2011	646	643	Sold for a profit of $150 per contract. (Jan 20112)

25 trades were generated for 2011. 22 of these trades were winners and only 3 produced losses for a win ratio of 88%.

Moreover the losses were tiny when compared to the profits generated from the winning trades. In addition, the losing trades were very widely spaced. For example after the last losing trade which we experienced in June 2011, we did not experience one further loss till the end of the year. In fact after that period we had 12 back to back winning trades.