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Results
From Aug 2006 to March 2007
The table below contains information on 28 of our most
recent futures trades dating all the way back to August 2006. Our latest
home run was in copper which generated over 16,000 in profits per
contract. We have updated our systems now to catch the full move of the
New leg up or down of any market that has either bottomed or topped.
This is can be seen if one looks at our recent trades in Cocoa,
Soybeans, Copper etc.
Main
portfolio
|
Symbol |
Entry price |
Current price |
Exit price |
Comments |
|
Cocoa Dec 06
(filled in Oct 06) |
1415 |
Sold |
1530 |
Sold for a gain of $1150 per contract. |
|
Dow Dec 06 short
(filled Oct 06) |
11820 |
Rolled over |
|
Rolled over |
|
Cocoa Dec 06
(Filled in August 06) |
1470 |
Sold |
1515 |
Sold for a profit of $450 per contract. |
|
Coffee Dec 06
(Filled in August 06) |
106.40 |
Sold |
114 |
Sold for a profit of $2850 per contract. |
|
Dow Dec 06 Short
(filled Oct 06) |
12160 |
Rolled over |
|
Rolled over |
|
Cotton Dec 06
(filled Nov 06) |
48.60 |
Sold |
47.70 |
Sold for a loss of $450 per contract. |
|
Cocoa Dec 06
(Filled Sept 06) |
1460 |
Sold |
1515 |
Sold for a profit of $510 per contract. |
|
Sugar March 07
(Filled Nov 06) |
11.25-11.31 |
Sold |
11.00 |
Sold for a loss of between $280-$350 per contract. |
|
Cocoa March 07
(Filled Nov 06) |
1530 |
Sold |
1689-1695 |
Sold for a profit of 1590-1650 per contract. |
|
Cocoa March 07
(filled Nov 06) |
1490 |
Sold |
1627 |
Sold for a profit of $1370 per contract. |
|
Cotton March 07
(filled Nov 06) |
52.80 |
Sold |
53.10 |
Sold for a profit of $150 per contract. |
|
Cotton March 07
(filled Nov 06) |
51.60 |
Sold |
53.10 |
Sold for a profit of $750 per contract. |
|
Oil Jan 07
(filled in Nov 06) |
60.30 |
Sold |
63.00 |
Sold for a profit of $2700 per contract (Dec 06) |
|
Sugar March 07
(filled Dec 07) |
11.20 |
Sold |
11.00 |
Sold for a loss of $225 per contract. |
|
Dow Dec 06 short
(Filled Nov 07) |
12240 |
Rolled over |
|
Rolled over. |
|
Oil March 07
(filled Jan 07) |
52.10-52.50 |
|
54.00-54.60 |
Held this trade for only 3 days. Sold for a profit of 1900-2500 per
contract (Jan 2007) |
|
Sugar March 07
(filled Jan 07) |
10.40 |
Sold |
11.00 |
Sold for a profit of $900 per contract ( Jan 07) |
|
Copper March 07
(filled in March 07) |
255.00 |
Sold |
274.80-276.00 |
Sold for a profit of $4950-$5250 per contract. |
|
Feeder Cattle March 07
(filled in Jan 07) |
90.90 |
Sold |
93-93.60 |
Held for less than 2 days and sold for a profit of $1500-$1800 per
contract. |
|
Canadian dollar march 07
Filled in Jan 07 |
84.70 |
Sold |
86.14 |
Sold for a profit of $1440 per contract (Feb 07) |
|
Cocoa March 07
(filled in Jan 07) |
1620 |
Sold |
1740 |
Sold for a profit of $1200 per contract. |
|
Cotton (March 07)
(filled in Jan 07) |
53.10 |
Sold |
53.10 |
Break Even Trade. |
|
Dow March 07
Filled Nov 2006) |
Rolled over average entry of 12073. |
Sold |
12000 |
Sold for \ a profit of 730 per contract |
|
Japanese Yen March 07
Filled March 07 |
82.80 |
Sold |
86.11 |
Sold for a profit of over $4130 per contract. Held only for a few
days (march 07) |
|
Cocoa May 07
(filled Feb 07) |
1740 |
Sold |
1910 |
Sold for a profit of 1700 per contract. |
|
Copper May 07
(filled Feb 07) |
260 |
Sold |
330-333 |
Second back to back winner in Copper locked in gains of over 16,000
per contract. |
|
Canadian Dollar March 07
Filled in March 07 |
84.90 |
Sold |
85.20-85.35 |
A quick profit of $300-$450 in a matter of days per contract. March
07 |
|
Wheat May 07
Filled in March 07 |
455 |
Sold |
477-480 |
Sold for a profit of $1100- $1250 per contract. (April 07.) |
28
trades 3 of which were rolled
over; rolled over means one gets out of the contract from the current
month to the next month. We have 3 losers. The 3 contracts that we
rolled were over were Dow shorts; initially the acid here was quite high
but when the market dropped they dropped fast and we were able to
recover all our money and lock in some very decent gains. When we
rolled over in the Dow Short we took the average entry price of the 3
contracts instead of listing them all as we actually rolled over at much
higher prices but we listed the original average entry price as our
initial entry. In other words when the new contracts were bought they
were bought at significantly higher levels but to illustrate our
position (profit or loss) we listed the original average entry price of
all the 3 contracts. Some traders who did not take part in the initial
trade but only took part in the second trade locked in rather huge
gains.
However the 3 losers
are not all loser simply because when we got into the sugar contract we
divided the money into 3 lots and bought 3 contracts. Two contracts lost
money but the third made enough money to cover the losses produced by
the first two and also produce a profit. If we look at it this way then
we really have only one loser.
So we can examine the
results from several angles.
We can list one of the
Dow trades as a loss as we got into one of them at 11820 while the other
two produced a profit. Again as in the case with sugar this does not
fully make sense as the original sum of money to be invested was divided
into 3 lots; one lot lost money but the other two lots made enough money
to cover the loss and produce again.
If we count one of the
Dow trades aS loss we have 4 losers out of 28 plays for an accuracy rate
of 85.71%
If we look at the
results in the light that sugar and the Dow were both winners as the
overall trades produced gains then we only have one loser for a an
accuracy rate of 96.4%.
We are not stating
that we can always maintain such a high accuracy rate and we would be
very happy with an accuracy rate in the 75%-84% ranges.
There are several
reasons why the accuracy rate has gone up.
Finally after years of
tweaking our tools we have finally adapted them fully for the futures
markets. Initially the tools were designed just for equities and thus it
took us time to re tabulate all these tools for all the different
futures markets.
Secondly we have
started using Artificial intelligence in combination with genetic
algorithms; to make a long story short these algorithms are adaptive
rather then being static so they adapt to changing market conditions.
What the AI program helps us achieve is to help us to spot new potential
trends; in the past it would take several hours to manually go through
each market and hence we had to limit ourselves to a few markets because
of time restrictions. When we are fully done testing our AI systems we
will be implementing a significant price increase in this service due to
the amount of money we had to allocate to this venture; those that join
will at most only have to pay a very small extra sum.
Now with this program
we are able to examine almost any futures market out there and if it
appears on our AI screen then we go to the second stage
This is the stage
where in dept pattern analysis is performed. All our tools esoteric
cycles, phase analysis, multi time frame analysis, standard deviation
analysis, our custom TA tools and finally a mass psychology analysis is
performed. This analysis still takes hours but now we can dedicate this
time only to markets that have given an initially buy or sell signal.
We must state that
futures and small cap penny stocks are not for all players; only
individuals that understand the concept of no risk no gain should
consider this service. When you enter the futures arena the risk factor
goes up several notches and so does the volatility factor. The
volatility factor is a bigger issue as many players jump out of what
could have been a profitable play just because they were shaken up by
the big up and down moves.
Finally we have a new
tool that tells us which markets are better to invest in equities or
futures. When the tool points to futures it means that there are going
to be a lot more trading opportunities in this arena and that the
volatility levels here will be somewhat lower then the equities markets
and vice versa. Thus if this tool states that futures are a better play
then we will issue more trades in the futures markets and less stock
plays and vice versa.

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