Hot Money Economics: It is the future

Hot Money Economics

Another word for hot money economics is easy money economics

After all the money the Fed has created, one would think the masses would say “no mas”, instead they are begging for more. Do you have any idea what kind of effect such huge amounts of hot money economics will have on the markets for years to come? The naysayers can talk all they want about supply lines being backed up for months or other scenarios that they pull out of their rears. The fact is that the market will eventually discount (if it has not already done so) all those scenarios. Furthermore, these experts are severely downplaying the role of technology. Suddenly a host of businesses are going to see that a lot of personnel can be replaced with AI-based technology without interrupting the flow of goods. Replacing them will improve efficiency on a colossal scale.

Once the markets discount all the bad news, this massive mountain of money is going to flood the system, and it is going to make the Bull Run from 2009 look like Child’s play for the amount of money the Fed has already thrown into this market makes 2008 look like a stroll in the park. Officially we think they will throw north of $5 trillion; unofficially the figure could end up being north of $10 trillion.
Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said Sunday night on CBS’s “60 Minutes” that “there is an infinite amount of cash in the Federal Reserve. We will do whatever we need to do to make sure there’s enough cash in the banking system.” https://yhoo.it/2JdtRlH

And there you have it, a tacit acknowledgement that forever Q.E. is real and here to stay. When the Fed states they will do whatever it takes, you better believe this statement. Regardless of what the penguins state, the Fed is good to maintain an environment that is conducive to the hot money.
If that is not enough, then this should help you understand just what the Fed is willing to do, and by the way, we stated that they would take this route.

Struggling to illustrate the scale of the measures, T.D. Securities’ Priya Misra was left asking, “What’s bigger than a kitchen sink? “Wells Fargo’s Jay Bryson attempted to answer that question by comparing it to what the Bernanke-led Fed did during the last economic crisis: “The actions taken are breath-taking in their scope. Indeed, these steps surpass in breadth and depth the measures that the Fed created in the midst of the financial crisis a decade ago. If the Fed pulled out a monetary policy ‘bazooka’ during that crisis, then the steps it announced this morning are the central bank equivalent of ‘going nuclear.’ “ https://yhoo.it/3bqrmIT

The article is courtesy of Tactical Investor

Other sites about Hot Money Economics

What Is Hot Money?
Hot money signifies currency that quickly and regularly moves between financial markets, that ensures investors lock in the highest available short-term interest rates. Hot money continuously shifts from countries with low-interest rates to those with higher rates. These financial transfers affect the exchange rate and potentially impact a country’s balance of payments. Hot money can also refer to stolen money that has been especially marked, so that it may be traced and identified.
Understanding Hot Money
Hot money not only relates to currencies of different countries, but it may also refer to capital invested in competing businesses. Banks seek to bring in hot money by offering short-term certificates of deposit (CDs) with higher-than-average interest rates. If the bank lowers its interest rates, or if a rival financial institution offers higher rates, investors are apt to move hot money funds to the bank offering the better deal.

In a global context, hot money can flow between economies only after trade barriers are removed and sophisticated financial infrastructures are established. Against this backdrop, money flows into high-growth areas that offer the potential for outsized returns. Conversely, hot money flows out of underperforming countries and economic sectors. Read more

Hot money flows

For international investors, there are substantial gains to be made from moving money between different countries with different interest rates.

Suppose the EU and UK both have an interest rate of 0.5%. At that time, it doesn’t make much difference whether you put savings in the US banks or EU banks.

However, if the UK increased interest rates to 1.5% then you would get a substantially higher return from saving in a UK bank. Therefore, EU investors may sell Euros and buy Pound Sterling so that they can gain more interest from their savings.

This increased demand for Pound Sterling will push up the value of the Pound against the Euro.

Even small changes in interest rates can make a significant impact on exchange rates. Increased capital mobility means it is easier to transfer money across accounts. Money can be moved from one account to another with ease. Also, the commission from buying dollars will be quite limited making it more attractive to shift accounts.

Example of Swiss Franc

In 2011, the Swiss Franc experienced a rapid rise as investors sought to buy Swiss Francs. Interest rates in Switzerland were not particularly high, but investors saw Switzerland as a safe haven from the Eurozone difficulties. Therefore, these hot money flows went from the Eurozone to Switzerland.

Problems of hot money flowsHot money flows can be destabilising. A rapid rise in the currency can harm countries exports because exports become more expensive. Read more

Hot money is a form of short-term investing in which investors move their money between financial markets to take advantage of interest rate fluctuations. Generally, this refers to moving money between countries and currencies. It is “hot” because it tends not to stay in one market very long.

What Is Hot Money?

In typical use, hot money is a strategy. Investors move their money between countries based on local economic conditions. Mostly, this means taking advantage of changing interest rates. However, it can also mean taking advantage of changing currency values.

The typical hot money investor looks for the highest short-term interest rates they can find in a given economy. This means that hot money investing is a short-term strategy. Money moves frequently between countries. As a result, it virtually never stays in one place for more than one year. In fact, it typically moves much more frequently. This gives the strategy its name. The money is hot because it’s considered fast-moving and not necessarily reliable. It will flow out of an economy as easily as it flowed in.

Hot money investors can approach this strategy in several ways. Most will buy currency and keep their assets in a regional bank, taking advantage of the interest rates those banks will pay. Others will buy short-term assets such as the U.S. three month treasury bill. This is a short term investment product with a guaranteed return, making it suitable for this strategy, even if a less common approach. Read more

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How to improve immune system?

 

How to improve immune system?

During instruction on three distinct discrimination issues from the visual water activity, all humans could achieve a standard of 8/10 appropriate trials, however, 2VO creatures took more to learn every issue and demonstrated diminished performance in a difficult memory investigation. Here is the first study to show that MB attenuates memory and learning deficits brought on by carotid occlusion and other ways how to improve immune system.

The results imply that MB could possibly be good for conditions including chronic cerebral hypoperfusion, such as mild cognitive impairment, cardiovascular disease, and Alzheimer’s disease. https://bit.ly/2QCLDD4 Additionally, once the initial signs of influenza begin to attest, I place undiluted 3 percent solution in the ears for 5-15 minutes.

How to improve immune system: My Way

I wait patiently until the bubbling ceases before going into another ear. I’ve either ceased influenza dead in its tracks or enhanced the healing period by 50%. The Way to enhance your immune system: from the box plans The concentration of H2O2 necessary to kill half of the germs present in 15 s was 1.8 M (6%) but dropped to 0.3 M (1%) at 2 minutes, to 10 mM (0.03percent ) in 1 h, and also to 0.2 mM (0.0007%) using a 24-h vulnerability. The results imply that if elevated levels of H2O2 could be sustained for extended intervals, H2O2 is an effective bactericidal agent, as well as the existence of LP and SCN- shields streptococci against killing by H2O2. https://bit.ly/33y8B3t Olive leaf extract: Organic antiviral agent MB is also capable to excite sugar metabolism in states with no oxygen and increase the quantity of NAD+ generated by mitochondria [5, 4 ].

This is likely going to be the most contentious of all materials listed here. Please be aware that I’m not telling you exactly what to do nor I’m advocating that you follow in my footsteps. What brought me to the substance has been its nootropic role, its antibacterial and antiviral action. My liver enzymes were slightly high four decades back, so I decided to try this specific product: four weeks after my ALT, that was (marginally elevated) not just normalised but was at the ideal selection.

My AST, that was within the standard selection, also moved into the perfect selection. I’ve been carrying MB off and on for more than four years without any negative outcomes. More especially, MB can contribute electrons into coenzyme Q and maybe to cytochrome C, thereby raising cytochrome oxidase (complex IV) activity and oxygen intake. In case you need to practice social bookmarking, you could always pick up the telephone or use skype or even WhatsApp to speak with a loved one or friend. Do not sit and anxiety; speaking about a problem helps alleviate anxiety. B complex: includes many positive aspects, among which will be to help one deal with anxiety. Before we proceed, I would like to make it apparent; we aren’t advocating or saying that you ought to take one or more of these supplements given below.

We’re supplying data that you analyse as we constantly do; our stance will likely forever stay the same. We do not tell folks what to dowe supply information, then you determine how you’re going to utilize that info. Should you disagree with a few or all the info listed under, that is the best, and we aren’t going to argue with you. Listen to music The researchers confirmed the oxidising agent H2O2 efficiently inactivates both the DNA and RNA viruses. Then they demonstrated the peroxide inactivation did not impact greatly on immunogenicity. https://bit.ly/2Qzv36Z https://ebay.to/3dlGmJw https://amzn.to/3aat6 H2O2 at a three percent concentration inactivated each of the viruses under study contained in 1–30 min. Coronavirus and flu viruses have been found to be sensitive. H2O2 is a convenient way for virus inactivation. https://bit.ly/2WyAU00

How to get a healthy immune system:

    • Honey Mumio or also Called mumijo Generally, I eat abnormally considerable quantities of sugar through honey, chocolates and fruits which include three or fewer components. It ought to consume sugar, cocoa, cocoa derivatives to the many are fine, milk, and fruits or nuts ). But I eat no bread or some other wheat-based products. I ceased all wheat intake in 2013, and ever since that time, I doubled my average all-natural sugar intake. In this time, I seen the Dentist merely double; on both events since they kept pestering me to come in to get a checkup. Another advantage of not swallowing any wheat is I obviously lost all extra weight and that I weigh exactly the same as I did in 19.
    • The healing property of honey is a result of the simple fact that it offers antibacterial action, maintains a moist wound illness, and its own high viscosity can help to offer a protective barrier to stop the disease. Its immunomodulatory home is pertinent to wound repair also. The antimicrobial activity in many kinds of honey is a result of the enzymatic generation of hydrogen peroxide. However, another sort of honey, known as non-peroxide honey (viz., manuka honey), shows significant antibacterial effects when the hydrogen peroxide action is blocked. Its mechanism might be associated with the low pH amount of honey along with its high sugar content (high osmolarity) which is sufficient to inhibit the development of microbes. The medical-grade honey has powerful in vitro bactericidal action against antibiotic-resistant germs causing many life-threatening infections to people. Researchers at Oregon Health & Science University working together with colleagues in the spin-out company Najit Technologies printed in vivo data demonstrating the usefulness of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2)-based method of creating inactivated viral pathogens. Studies in mice revealed that H2O2-inactivated viral vaccines from lymphocytic choriomeningitis virus (LCMV), smallpox, as well as West Nile virus, triggered elevated titres of both virus-specific CD8+ T cells or neutralising antibodies and supplied long-term defence against subsequent challenge with lethal doses of their various pathogen.
    • Additionally, the fraction full of glycerol ethers/wax esters shown a substantial growth-promoting action in permanent neuronal PC12 cells. It’s concluded that this new Mumijo prep has different and marked neuroprotective action, quite likely as a result of material of glycerol ether derivatives. https://bit.ly/2QADuif I’m only talking the things below because I had been requested by numerous readers what I’m doing in regard to the coronavirus. For the ones that are prepared to experiment the info listed below may prove to be of interest. I am not advocating you do so, but I have used these materials for many years and continue to utilize them. I am prepared to push the envelope provided there’s information to back up a publication treatment. Mumijo training are successfully employed for the prevention and therapy for infectious diseases; they also exhibit immune-stimulating and antiallergic action too. In the current study, we explore the chemical makeup and the gastrointestinal capacity of some Mumijo(-related) product accumulated from Antarctica. Extensive purification and chemical analysis demonstrated the fossil samples are a combination of glycerol derivatives. A very simple test to determine whether honey is from a fantastic source. https://bit.ly/3a9hAdR Methylene blue (MB) spans the adrenal barrier and in low doses functions as an electron cycler from the mitochondrial electron transfer chain. Past studies implicate MB in the two memory augmentation and neuroprotection. 2VO rats showed greater performance in the visual water activity without showing differences generally motor action, visually guided swimming skill or odour recognition. Daily MB attenuated the shortages in visual memory and learning which led from cerebrovascular insufficiency.
    • A little bit of Vitamin C may also be helpful. Honey is among the most valued and appreciated organic products introduced to humanity since early times. Honey is utilized not just as a nutrient product but also in wellness described in conventional medicine and as an alternate remedy for clinical conditions which range from wound healing to cancer therapy. The intention of this review will be to emphasise the capability of honey along with its abundance in medicinal elements. The components of honey are reported to exert antioxidant, antimicrobial, anti-inflammatory, antiproliferative, anti-inflammatory, and antimetastatic effects. According to contemporary scientific research, honey could be helpful and contains protective effects for treating various disease conditions like diabetes mellitus, respiratory, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, and nervous systems, also it’s helpful in cancer therapy since many kinds of antioxidant are found in honey. In summary, honey can be regarded as a natural curative agent for various medicinal purposes. Sufficient evidence is advocating using honey in the management of illness conditions. Based on these facts, using honey in clinical wards is highly suggested. https://bit.ly/2xXZgGq Supplements that are useful and we are accepting Virtually all of the products listed above could readily be acquired by running a simple google search. But, I’ll list three resources for mumio. I typically visit a Russian drugstore to buy this, or if one of my visits Russia or Ukraine they attract a few backs. At low dosages, methylene blue (MB) was demonstrated to protect the mind from disease by acting as an electron donor to complicated I-IV of their mitochondria which raises adenosine triphosphate (ATP) generation. ATP is the money of life and also the energy which drives people. If our creation of ATP declines, our bodily and psychological performance declines. Even healthy people may benefit from an increase in ATP production [1].

MB may also trap dripping electrons made by mitochondrial inhibitors and also maintain the metabolic rate by bypassing blocked factors of blood circulation, so improving mitochondrial respiration [1]. https://bit.ly/2UwfaQ2

Other thoughts on ways how to improve immune system

Feeding your body certain foods may help keep your immune system strong

If you’re looking for ways to prevent colds, the flu, and other infections, your first step should be a visit to your local grocery store. Plan your meals to include these 15 powerful immune system boosters.

An important note
No supplement will cure or prevent disease.

With the 2019 coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic, it’s especially important to understand that no supplement, diet, or other lifestyle modification other than physical distancing, also known as social distancing, and proper hygiene practices can protect you from COVID-19.

Currently, no research supports the use of any supplement to protect against COVID-19 specifically.

1. Citrus fruits
Most people turn straight to vitamin C after they’ve caught a cold. That’s because it helps build up your immune system.

Vitamin C is thought to increase the production of white blood cells, which are key to fighting infections.

Almost all citrus fruits are high in vitamin C. With such a variety to choose from, it’s easy to add a squeeze of this vitamin to any meal.

Popular citrus fruits include:

grapefruit
oranges
clementines
tangerines
lemons
limes
Because your body doesn’t produce or store it, you need daily vitamin C for continued health. The recommended daily amount for most adults is:

Also keep in mind that while vitamin C might help you recover from a cold quicker, there’s no evidence yet that it’s effective against the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. Read more

Can You Really Boost Your Immune System?

The idea of boosting your immune system is appealing, but is it even possible to build up your immune system so that you rarely get sick?

Dr. Suzanne Cassel, an immunologist at Cedars-Sinai, says that the concept of boosting your immune system is inaccurate. There’s also widely held confusion about how your immune system functions and how your body is designed to combat diseases and infections.
How your immune system works
Your immune system works to recognize and identify an infection or injury in the body. This causes an immune response, with the goal of restoring normal function.

Dr. Cassel says many people think that when they get sick, their symptoms are a sign that they have a virus or an infection.

However, your symptoms are actually a sign that your body is fighting back against the infection or virus, triggering an immune response.

“When you have a cold, you feel run down, your nose is runny, you feel congested—these are the symptoms people complain about,” Dr. Cassel says. “People think ‘I’m so sick, this is terrible. Why doesn’t my immune system work?’ But with every one of these cold symptoms, that is your immune system at work.”

Can you strengthen your immune system?
Dr. Cassel says another common misconception is having a “strong” immune system is what’s best for your body. Read more

 

13 Tips to Strengthen Your Immune System

Kick Back and Relax
Some stress can be a good thing. It helps your body get ready for a challenge. But if it lasts too long, that’s bad news. Studies show it can weaken your body’s defense system. Avoid it when you can. Make it a point to unwind and

Get Your Groove On
It doesn’t just make you feel good — it’s good for you, too. One study found a link between a healthy immune system and how often you get busy. Those who made love more often had higher levels of a cold-fighting substance in their bodies.

Find a Furry Friend
There’s a reason we call them “man’s best friend.” Dogs and other pets aren’t just good buddies. They also give us a reason to exercise and boost our health in other ways. Pet owners have lower blood pressure and cholesterol levels and healthier hearts. Dogs can help your child’s immune response and make him less likely to get allergies.

Build Your Social Network
We all know friends are important, but strong social ties can also have a big effect on your health. People with healthy relationships are likely to outlive those with poor social ties. Want to broaden your circle? Volunteer, take a class or join a group that interests you. And nurture the bonds you already have. Read more

 

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COVID mortality rate: the truth is out there

COVID mortality rate

Let us take the huge headlines that the media is attempting to push that coronavirus instances have jeopardized in NY. Off course they’ve spiked what exactly do you anticipate should you examine more individuals. That’s a false story, the media should concentrate on the facts. Though the Coronavirus mortality rate is trending upward, it comes nowhere near matching the damage brought on by smoking, cancer and a plethora of other diseases that kill more people than COVID. Among other matters, they discovered that the pupils’ resistance went every year under the easy strain of this exam period.

COVID mortality rate table

The way the deaths are listed in Italy leaves a great deal to be desired. Anyone going into the hospital using a coronavirus identification is deemed to have expired as a consequence of the coronavirus. Preexisting conditions aren’t taken under account. Bear in Mind an already weakened immune system today must cope with two or three problems and so to suppose the departure was due to this coronavirus is again nothing short of voodoo science.

COVID mortality rate across all age groups

Based on Dr Maria Van Kerkhove of the World Health Organization, speaking in a digital press conference on Friday, the movement to use”physical distancing” stems from a desire to emphasize”maintaining the physical space from individuals so that we could stop the virus from moving to another” Continuing stress makes us vulnerable to disease and illness since the mind sends chemical signs to the endocrine system, which releases a range of hormones which not only makes us prepared for crisis situations but seriously depresses our immunity in precisely the exact same moment. Some specialists assert that anxiety is responsible for up to 90 percent of ailments and ailments, such as cancer and cardiovascular disease.

COVID mortality rate age data

How it does this is by simply activating chemical reactions and flood your system with cortisol which, among other items, reduces inflammation, reduces white blood cells and NK cells (particular cells which kill cancer), raises tumour growth and growth and increases the speed of disease and tissue damage. https://bit.ly/2U9yNOw These findings opened the floodgates of study. Their meta-analysis discerned fascinating patterns. Laboratory studies that stressed individuals for a couple of minutes discovered a burst of a single kind of”first responder” action mixed with different indications of weakening.

For anxiety of any substantial length — from a few days to a couple of months or years, as occurs in real life — all facets of resistance went downhill. “So basically the age distribution of our patients is wired into older age and this is significant in raising the lethality.” A study in JAMA this week discovered that nearly 40 percent of ailments and 87 percent of deaths from the country happen to be in patients over 70 years past. And based on modelling, most the age group are very likely to want critical hospital maintenance — for example 80 percent of 80-somethings — placing immense pressure on the medical system. https://bit.ly/3aacIoG

The disinformation campaign is indeed rampant; I believed this something that I had to research straight to provide Tactical Investors a much better look at what’s really going. So, I chose to take the danger and fly to Asia without declaring it. I wished to see for myself when the US and the West, generally, was overreacting and when Asia had been doing a better job about the emotional frontier.

Thus far, I’ve seen Vietnam, Malaysia, Cambodia, Singapore, and Indonesia and that I can honestly say they are doing a far better job of controlling the anxiety factor then we’re performing in the united states. Folks aren’t draining shelves left, right and centre that the only thing that appears to be selling like hotcakes are face masks. The comparison in how the Asians are coping with this scenario from a mental standpoint of opinion is humungous. The researchers noticed that insufficient social support was reported from the study for a risk factor for depression, and insight amplified in a 2005 analysis of school students.

COVID mortality rate in Italy

The entire health impact of anxiety, however, might not be completely revealed until the effects of ageing are more broadly appreciated. https://bit.ly/2QyZqdw And viola which looks like the case, so rather than attempting to calm the people, the authorities in the West do their very best to pressure out the elderly people which are facing other trying difficulties. By way of instance, pensions which don’t pay the price of living or insufficient medical assistance, etc..

COVID mortality in Italy

High-stress levels can also lead to anxiety and depression, again resulting in high degrees of inflammation. From the long term, sustained, elevated levels of inflammation stage to an underactive, over-tired immune system which can not properly protect you. https://cle.clinic/3bct0xx If the leaders of the West but specifically, the US could behave in precisely the exact same way to instil calm in the people, the response could be different. Stress increases strain and anxiety, interrupts the immune system.

The extensive data recorded below clearly suggests that anxiety can be fatal, particularly to the older who in many cases have some type of preexisting disorder and extra pressure puts an excess burden on the already weakened immune system.

What stands out is the Coronavirus mortality rate across all age classes drops to 0.9percent once the people don’t have any preexisting ailments. Again, this is something which needs to be broadcasted rather than being buried. So, age is not a variable, era and preexisting conditions are the principal elements. And viola which looks like the case, so rather than attempting to calm the people, the authorities in the

West do their very best to pressure out the elderly people which are facing other trying difficulties. By way of instance, pensions which don’t pay the price of living or insufficient medical assistance, etc..

Though the amount of sufferers has jeopardized the Coronavirus mortality rate across all types has barely changed. If stress suppresses the immune systems of healthy people, then the consequences on those who often dread more and most of which have some inherent condition (particularly if they’re on a modern-day diet) should be more conspicuous. And maybe deadly in case they must take care of a virus or bacteria that’s more powerful than normal. As an instance, Jakarta is going to announce a state of crisis, and people aren’t running around in fear.

Malaysia is shutting down its own boundaries, and also the most important response was that Malaysians working in Singapore hurried back home to pack extra supplies and then led back to Singapore, where they’ll stay for a protracted period. If the boundary is closed, then they won’t have the ability to return, so they desired to ensure they had sufficient clothes etc. because of their long stay in Singapore. During severe stress lasting a couple of minutes, particular types of cells are mobilised to the blood, possibly preparing your system for trauma or disease during”flight or fight” [1]. Persistent stress lasting from days to many years, such as intense anxiety, is associated with high degrees of pro-inflammatory cytokines, but with possibly different health effects [3].

Another result of chronic pressure is that the activation of latent viruses. Latent virus detection may signify the reduction of immunological control within the virus, and regular activation may cause wear-and-tear on the immune system [5]. https://bit.ly/2U8Kjdi After deaths in the virus reached over 2,500, using a 150 percent rise in the previous week, health authorities have been combing through statistics to provide clues to help fight the spread of this disease. https://bloom.bg/2J6TG6I Ageing is associated with a natural drop in immune function. Immunosenescence is found in several aspects of innate and adaptive immunity. By way of instance, older folks have a weaker natural killer cell (NK) reaction to stimulatory cytokines than younger people [1]. Ageing is also related to diminished activation and proliferation of both T- and B-lymphocytes [2]. Additional the B-lymphocytes of older individuals produce less antibody than those of younger people [3].

Additionally, higher production of specific inflammatory mediators is discovered during aging [4]. These immunological changes render elderly people more vulnerable to a plethora of age-related ailments. But, immunosenescence seems to put older people at higher risk when coupled with collecting chronic disorders, repeated infections, or other outside variables [5]. Chronic stress could be among those variables leaving older people more vulnerable to age-related diseases [6,7]. https://bit.ly/33y4pRg Additionally, stress reduces the body’s lymphocytes — the white blood cells which help fight infection. The lower your lymphocyte degree, the more at risk you are for germs, including the frequent cold and cold sores.

Once more, one catches a glimpse of the way the media goes out of its way to frighten the people into believing the world is all about to finish. 99 percent of those that expired already had a present condition and most of the deaths are happening in a few of the most polluted regions of Italy. If you factor the ones that don’t have any prerequisite disorders/conditions, the death rate drops to 0.8 percent. Why is the media not highlighting this matter, why would they insist on panicking the older, the most exposed people in the populace?

Are they trying to hide something or will be the Doctor’s only too overworked to do the excess work? “Physicians in Italy have not been dealing with a couple of patients in care… but around 1,200,” says Dr Mike Ryan, wellness crises programme executive director in the World Health Organization. “The fact they are saving a lot of is a little miracle in itself.” https://bit.ly/3aacIoG “On re-evaluation from the National Institute of Health, just 12 percent of death certificates have proven a direct causality by a coronavirus, while 88 percent of individuals that have died have a minimum of one pre-morbidity — several had two or even three,” he states.

However there are different elements which might have led to Italy’s fatality prices, experts state. This includes a higher rate of pollution and smoking — the vast majority of deaths have been from the northern area Lombardy area, which is notorious for poor air quality. Among other matters, they discovered that the pupils’ resistance went every year under the easy strain of this exam period.

The information above clearly highlights why Italy has this abnormally large death rate and also this article (obviously ) affirms what all studies have confirmed those with already compromised immune systems are the most in danger. The meta-analysis also demonstrated that individuals who are elderly or sick are more inclined to stress-related resistant alterations. People who have chronic mild depression had poorer lymphocyte-T cellular responses to two mitogens, which version the way the body reacts to viruses and germs.

The immune reaction was down 18 months later, and resistance diminished with age. In accord with this 2004 meta-analysis, it seemed that the primary immune variable was the length, not seriousness, of melancholy. And in the instance of the elderly professionals, their melancholy and era intended a double-whammy for immunity. To top it, all specialists have produced this expression social distancing that’s perplexing many, and thus they’ve opted to develop another expression called Physical Action. Hysteria has gripped everybody, particularly in America and its feeding itself and if you put in stupidity and ineptitude from the elected officials, what ought to happen to be a moderate situation become a nightmare kind situation.

We’re supposedly the most advanced country in the world, but following the present debacle, an individual will be hard-pressed to phone the US innovative at least when it concerns the health sector. Had the US taken the exact same position as South Korea, the economies could have fared better and people would’ve panicked less since they’d have believed the problem was under control? The delay in testing is exactly what turned into a nervous audience to some hysterical mob.

With dismay, we see that the USA respond in unbecoming manners, rather than adding stability to the scenario the assortment of different commands and orders from several governors, bureaus, etc.. fostered even more dread in lieu of a feeling of hope. The economies are pulling back because of inherent economic conditions, but since folks feel as nobody knows what they’re doing.

Why devise all these phrases? Why don’t you simply say, hey you know to get just a little time that it will be better for those who do not get too near your relatives since they will be the most exposed and this really is but a temporary step?

This new expression adds more stress to an already worried out-group (the older ). The most vulnerable become more vulnerable because their immune systems are slowed as anxiety was demonstrated to decrease immunity. More than 99 percent of Italy’s coronavirus deaths were individuals who endured from past health problems, according to research by the nation’s federal health authority. Ageing is associated with a natural drop in immune function. Immunosenescence is found in several aspects of innate and adaptive immunity. By way of instance, older folks have a weaker natural killer cell (NK) reaction to stimulatory cytokines than younger people [1]. Ageing is also related to diminished activation and proliferation of both T- and B-lymphocytes [2].

Additional the B-lymphocytes of older individuals produce less antibody than those of younger people [3]. Additionally, higher production of specific inflammatory mediators is discovered during ageing [4]. These immunological changes leave elderly people more vulnerable to a plethora of age-related ailments. But, immunosenescence seems to put older people at higher risk when coupled with collecting chronic disorders, repeated infections, or other outside variables [5].

Chronic stress could be among those variables leaving older people more vulnerable to age-related diseases [6,7]. https://bit.ly/33y4pRg These findings opened the floodgates of study. Their meta-analysis discerned fascinating patterns. Laboratory studies that stressed individuals for a couple of minutes discovered a burst of a single kind of”first responder” action mixed with different indications of weakening. For anxiety of any substantial length — from a few days to a couple of months or years, as occurs in real life — all facets of resistance went downhill.

For you to figure out the death rate, it ends up to 1.28 percent, but rather than focusing on that, they will attempt to twist the spike into coronavirus is something of a jolt. More testing is helpful since it is going to lower the death rate as a bigger group of individuals will be analyzed rather than only those demonstrating the symptoms. On the other hand, the media concentrates on the negative facet or attempts to earn a manageable position seem to be completely out of control and nowhere else is that more obvious than in Italy. We’ll cover Italy soon.

COVID mortality rate analysis

The meta-analysis also demonstrated that individuals who are elderly or sick are more inclined to stress-related resistant alterations. People who have chronic mild depression had poorer lymphocyte-T cellular responses to two mitogens, which version the way the body reacts to viruses and germs. The immune reaction was down 18 months later, and resistance diminished with age. In accord with this 2004 meta-analysis, it seemed that the primary immune variable was the length, not seriousness, of melancholy. And in the instance of the elderly professionals, their melancholy and era intended a double-whammy for immunity.

If stress suppresses the immune systems of healthy people, then the consequences on those who often dread more and most of which have some inherent condition (particularly if they’re on a modern-day diet) should be more conspicuous. And maybe deadly in case they must take care of a virus or bacteria that’s more powerful than normal.

Other Articles of Interest

COVID 19 deaths in the US: Is The Media telling the Truth
Stock Market Buying opportunity by Coronavirus
What is a coronavirus and how it affects the Stock Market
Stock Market outlook and the future of the work
Stock Market Trends

Stock Market Timing Strategies

Stock Market Timing Strategies

Stock Market Timing Strategies: Are they all fake or what?

To be able to acquire as a contrarian, you want the ideal time and you need to put able at the proper size – knowing the stock market timing strategies. Should you do it too little, it is not significant. Should you do it too large, you can get wiped out if your time is slightly off.

There are lots of people who provide guidance, but few offering advice. — Anonymous Irrespective of whatever the specialists say, an individual shouldn’t fight with the Fed, for if you personally, you find yourself dead. Dead as in dead broke. Losing your mind in a crisis is a fantastic way to turn into a catastrophe. — C.J. Redwine “the opportunity to get is when there’s blood in the streets” — Baron Rothschild

The procedure requires courage, dedication and an understanding of your own psychology. — Michael Steinhardt Before we move we believe these crucial sayings could assist you to fine-tune their market timing plans, for they provide invaluable insights into the mindset of players which were ahead of their days.

Stock Market Timing strategies: Crowd Psychology should play an integral part

People are vulnerable to herd since it’s always warmer and warmer at the centre of the herd. Really, our brains have been wired to make us social creatures. We feel that the pain of social exclusion in the very same areas of the mind where we feel real physical pain.

Being a contrarian is a bit like getting your arm broken on a regular basis. — James Montier These wise men that felt smart by hammering the hell out of us throughout the industry collapse will weep tears of blood soon if they’re not yet doing this. They made the exact same mistake earlier, promising to not fall for the imitation news/hysteria which compelled them to dump their stocks at the base. However, like mentally deranged people, they did exactly the exact same thing at the worst possible moment, and what had been their explanation; “it is different now”.

Well, it is going to differ, and that is the reason why the masses may use indefinitely to justify how they let emotion overrule logic and marketed when they ought to have been purchasing. In the long run, this story is going to be repeated over and over, since the mass mindset knows no greater. Therefore the saying misery enjoys company and stupidity simply needs it. Success relies on taking a strategy that’s likely to draw cries of criticism against the masses. The only expression that comes to mind is that the truth hurts and boy does it.

One of the Best Market Timing Strategists

  1. 150 basis point decrease in prices
  2. $700 billion bailout package
  3. Another two trillion-plus bailout package
  4. two billion bucks increased from the markets from the Fed to offer liquidity
  5. Today the Fed has said that they’ll inject as much cash as they see fit. To Put It Differently, the Feds are publicly admitting to permanently Q.E.

The people continue to be worried, so the game plan is easy. Panic ought to be seen as the code phrase for purchasing. Hence, once the masses fear and sell their stocks jump in and purchase and keep doing so until the tendency turns negative. Michael Levitt, a Nobel laureate and Stanford biophysicist, started analyzing the amount of COVID-19 cases globally in January and properly calculated that China would undergo the worst of its own coronavirus outbreak extended before several health experts had predicted.

If you would like to rob a guy you, the ideal means is to polarise those around him. If you are going to steal in the masses for a long time ahead, the ideal strategy is to induce a condition of helplessness via hysteria. Have a step back and examine how readily the audience is allowing congress to rob them for a long time to come. There could have been no chance in hell that one of these bundles would have had some chance of being accepted three weeks past.

The biophysicist that called the path that the virus could take in China is calling a similar result for the remainder of the planet. He accurately predicted the result that went contrary to what all of the other false prophets of doom have been laying outside. Market Timing approaches: Volume Psychology should play a key part It is not always easy to do what is popular, but that is where you earn your cash. Purchase stocks which appear bad to less cautious investors hang on till their actual worth is recognized. I have never purchased a stock unless, in my opinion, it was available. Purchase on the cannons and market on the trumpets. — John Neff I will say the way you can become wealthy…Be fearful when others are greedy.

Be greedy when others are fearful. — Warren Buffett When the trend is upward, strategic investors must see fear through a bullish lens. Purchase when the masses dread and sell when they’re jumping up with pleasure.

These quotations from some brilliant people exemplify the worth of maintaining a cool head during times of fear. Sooner or later comes a crisis in our affairs, and the way we fulfil it decides our future success and happiness. Since the start of time, every kind of life was called on to fulfil such a catastrophe. — Robert Collier When many epidemiologists are warning of months, or years, of enormous social disruption and countless deaths, Levitt states the data just don’t support such a dire situation — particularly in locations where moderate social distancing measures have been set up.

Among the Very Best Market Timing Strategists Rather than creating a stir fry, the masses are demanding the Fed do longer. To put it differently, they are now begging the authorities to produce more income from thin air because the image seems to have shifted. All of a sudden their disagreements that too much cash could be awful for the machine are no longer a problem, for they’re just concerned with enhancing the prognosis now.

Anxiety Index and Market Timing

They’ll rue the day they gave their authorities so much electricity, hence the expression, the ones who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat it. Just don’t forget before you say you wish more individuals were/are brighter, imagine how much tougher it will be for you to browse if those around you’re as eloquent as you are. In the long run, be thankful for the morons of this world for they provide investors with invaluable data which may be utilized to boost the net worth and remain out of harm’s way. In addition, this data shows what we’ve always said, that no fantastic deed goes unpunished and a good Samaritan generally ends up as a lifeless Samaritan. Never provide to help somebody that doesn’t seek it for they will probably show up you the closest pole should you do that.

— Saying’s that Might Help fine-tune market timing plans

Successful men and women recognize crisis as a time for a change — from smaller to greater, smaller to larger. — Edwin Louis Cole

To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are euphorically purchasing takes the best courage, but supplies the best profit. Bull markets are created in pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the ideal time to purchase, and the period of maximum optimism is the ideal time to market. If you would like a better performance compared to the audience, you have to do things differently in the audience. — Sir John Templeton “What we want is to control the anxiety,” he explained. In the grand strategy, “we are going to be nice.”

And that’s what we all must concentrate on, for in the grand scheme of things we’re going to be fine since there isn’t 1 bit of information that signifies that the gloom and doom scenarios that are being depicted have some chance of coming to pass. What astute investors will need to concentrate on is your chance factor for this is exactly what the ultra-wealthy and insiders do. Insiders wouldn’t be financing the truck and loading up whenever they believed the world was about to finish. This really is a classic instance of this boy that cried wolf too many occasions.

To be successful as a contrarian, you need to recognize what the audience considers, have a concrete explanation for why the majority isn’t right, and also have the patience and certainty to stay to that which is, by definition, an unpopular bet. — Whitney Tilson

Panic is one of the Major market timing strategies when used properly

He foresees a similar result in the USA and the rest of the planet.

 

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The Stock Market Data and Investor Sentiment

stock market data

Stock Market Data 101

In some ways, today’s stock market data is like MUSK; the guy is erratic and TSLA’s erratic stock price action clearly validates this point.  He was caught smoking weed on camera, and he called Vernon Unsworth a “pedo guy”; in 2018 he stated he wanted to take Tesla private and was sued by the SEC for securities fraud.  Last but not least, Tesla is still losing money selling cars. Hence, the logical conclusion would be that one should short the stock, and if you did that, you would have lost your shirt, pants and your knickers.

In 2020, bears lost north of $8 billion as a result of their shorts. The recent parabolic spike in Tesla’s stocks price was due to a massive short squeeze. On the same token, this market should have crashed long ago, and those that bet against it have paid dearly. The moral of the story is simple; when it comes to the market, the focus should be on the psychological state of the masses and not on logic.  In Tesla’s case, if one applied Mass Psychology, one would have noticed that the stock has a cult-like following and secondly, the bad news was not having a massive impact on the price of the stock. Sure the stock let out a large dose of steam, but that is natural for a stock that has been on a tear.

stock market cycles and investor sentiment

Investor sentiment and Market Cycles

This chart quite accurately captures the state of the mass mindset; however, the funny part is that very few put this information to use, including the individuals/organisations that create these lovely charts.

According to the Wall Street Journal, there is a record 3.4 trillion in cash sitting on the sidelines.  This money will eventually find its way into the market and push markets higher, but the more important factor to pay attention to is that the crowd is still far from bullish.  Looking at the sentiment below; the only consistency we can find is that there is no consistency. Bullish sentiment has not remained above 60% for 3 weeks in a row for years on end. In fact, we can’t recall seeing the sentiment above 60% for three weeks in a row since the inception of this bull market and that is a very telling development indeed.

This sentiment data was tabulated before Friday’s sell-off; therefore it appears that the crowd was already spooked before Friday’s sell-off further cementing the view that a sharp pullback has to be viewed as a blessing in disguise. Market Update Jan 31, 2020

sentiment data

If you compare the current sentiment data to that in the last update, bearish readings remain unchanged but bullish readings rose a bit. Now does that make any sense; the crowd panicked and then turned bullish and the markets surged to new highs and the bears still dominate. This type of action clearly pinpoints that the main dominant theme is that the masses are still uncertain.

Media Hysteria over the Coronavirus: what gives?

According to Worldometers

Quick facts:

  • Every year an estimated 290,000 to 650,000 people die in the world due to complications from seasonal influenza (flu) viruses.
  • This figure corresponds to 795 to 1,781 deaths per day due to the seasonal flu.

Sources and info:

Why the hysteria when so far roughly 3K individuals have succumbed to the coronavirus? What gives? Weaponised news, that’s what gives.

Conclusion

If you are an investor with a long term view then all sharp corrections should be viewed through a bullish lens as history indicates that markets revert to the mean.  This massive sell-off is driven by fear and when the fear subsides the markets will resume their upward trend. The trend as per our Trend Indicator is still positive, so Tactical Investors should view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens.

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

Coronavirus: Fear returns to stock markets

Global stock markets have fallen sharply as investors continue to worry about the broader economic effects of the coronavirus.

London’s FTSE 100 share index fell more than 3% and there were similar declines in other European markets.

In the US, upbeat data on hiring and unemployment failed to buoy investors.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed almost 1% lower, while the Nasdaq slumped 1.8% and S&P 500 ended down 1.7%.

The monthly report from the US Labor Department found US employers added 273,000 jobs in February – significantly beating expectations – while the jobless rate fell back to near a 50-year low of 3.5%.

The report also revised up estimates of job gains in January and December, finding 85,000 more than previously understood.

The surveys, however, reflect data collected before the outbreak intensified. In recent weeks, global travel has plunged, while work, school and shopping has been disrupted in many countries.

Despite the strong data, markets were focused on the impact of the virus. “Today’s jobs report is old news,” said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo.

The economic strength signalled in the report is a “little like the saying, the car was in fine condition before being involved in a collision”, said Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst for Bankrate.com.
Earlier on Friday, markets in Asia had seen big falls, with Japan’s Nikkei share index dropping by 2.7%.

The 3.6% drop in the FTSE 100 wiped out the gains seen earlier this week on the index. Full Story

 

US stocks halted after falling 7%. Global stocks plunge as oil crashes and coronavirus fear spreads

Hong Kong/New York/London (CNN Business)Global markets are plunging after the implosion of an alliance between OPEC and Russia caused the worst one-day crash in crude prices in nearly 30 years, fueling panic triggered by the escalation of the coronavirus epidemic.

The S&P 500 (SPX) fell about 6%. The Dow (INDU) fell as many as 2,046 points. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) was down 5.4%. The New York Stock Exchange halted trading for 15 minutes after stocks plunged more than 7%. They retraced some of their losses after the market reopened.
The sell-off carried over into Asia Pacific, where Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 ended 7.3% lower on Monday, the index’s biggest plunge since October 2008. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (N225) sank 5.1% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HSI) lost 4.2%, while China’s Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) shed 3%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, meanwhile, fell below 0.5%, hitting record lows. The panic began after Saudi Arabia shocked oil markets by launching a price war. The kingdom is trying to retake global market share after Russia refused Friday to go along with OPEC’s efforts to rescue the oil market from a plunge in demand caused by the coronavirus outbreak.
Making matters worse, the novel coronavirus continues to weigh heavily on investors as it deals an unexpected shock to the economy. The virus has infected more than 108,000 people and is throwing many countries into turmoil. Full Story

Who’s buying stocks? Executives at TripAdvisor, Newell Brands and other companies are buying at low prices

In his investing book “The Vital Few vs. the Trivial Many: Invest With the Insiders, Not the Masses,” George Muzea argues that the best time to purchase stocks is when “those in the know” are buying, and “those not in the know” are selling.

People in the know are corporate insiders like directors and top managers who get daily reports on sales trends and projections, and who can read the body language and other signals inside companies.

They’re buying like crazy in the coronavirus-led bear market, which has pushed down the S&P 500 Index by 12% Monday alone.

I’ve tracked insider buying on a daily basis for over 10 years, because it’s a big part of how I select names for my stock newsletter, “Brush Up on Stocks,” launched in 2010. The current wave of insider buying is as big as any I’ve seen during the great panics of the bull market — all of which were followed by rebounds.

Importantly, insiders are going straight to all the sectors that will supposedly get hit hardest by the virus: air travel, amusement parks, restaurants and economically sensitive areas like basic materials, energy and industrials. They are doing so with repeated, large purchases. There’s virtually no insider buying in classic defensive areas like consumer staples. Full Story

What is coronavirus and how it affects Stock Market

what is corona virus

Coronavirus: Is it time to panic?

The Coronavirus issue is going to be blown out of all proportions and it will be made to look like the mother of all pandemics. In fact, we are seeing individuals that are not qualified to make projections on the rate this virus will spread, stating that millions upon millions will be affected. This could be true, but most of the experts making these proclamations have no background in biology or virology; their main qualification is that they have a PhD in BS.

We feel this is a test by the big players that control most of the media outlets to see how far the truth can be stretched and so far it’s working marvellously. It is estimated that eight corporations control the bulk of the media in the US.

Now people are being checked with thermometers to see if their temp is above normal and an above-normal temperature has now become the litmus test for the Coronavirus; voodoo science at its best. This is one of the most retarded medical tests of all time, but no one seems to notice; a real-life depiction of “Pluto’s Allegory of the cave”.

Statistics from the CDC

CDC estimates that the burden of illness during the 2018–2019 season included an estimated 35.5 million people getting sick with influenza, 16.5 million people going to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 hospitalizations, and 34,200 deaths from influenza (Table 1). The number of influenza-associated illnesses that occurred last season was similar to the estimated number of influenza-associated illnesses during the 2012–2013 influenza season when an estimated 34 million people had symptomatic influenza illness6. http://bit.ly/2UMJjMG

In comparison to the flu virus, the Coronavirus has caused a minimal amount of damage yet it has received 100X more coverage than the flu virus, which resulted in 34.200 deaths (and only US data is being used); the current death toll of the Coronavirus stands at 1113 (based on the latest data).  It’s no laughing matter, but it still pales in comparison to those caused by the flu.

Worldwide, tobacco use causes more than 7 million deaths per year.2 If the pattern of smoking all over the globe doesn’t change, more than 8 million people a year will die from diseases related to tobacco use by 2030. http://bit.ly/2wcEl1s

Many of the masks that individuals are wearing are not that useful against viruses and even the masks that might provide protection need to be worn correctly. http://bit.ly/2HklQKB.  Other experts state that masks are useless as the virus is spread through the eyes. http://bit.ly/2SCjfkw

Coronavirus and the boy who cried wolf

We feel the technique being used here is the one that comes from the story “the boy who cried wolf” from Aesop’s Fables.  The idea here we think is to push the crowd to the edge over a situation that while troublesome is not as bad as it is being made out to be. When the masses discover this, they won’t be too happy so the next time it happens, they won’t react in the same manner as the assumption will be “this is a big fuss over nothing” and that is precisely when things will run amok.  For the record, we hope we are wrong.

At some point in time, something is bound to occur as humans are destroying this planet at an unprecedented rate. If any other creature took the same path, it would be labelled a virus, but “humans” are the so-called chosen ones so they can do whatever they see fit to do.

The equation must balance, and it always does; it just a question of time. However, time is also the only teacher that kills all its students without fail. This discussion is beyond the scope of this publication, so we will stop here.

The markets were extremely overbought

Hence we feel that everyone, including individuals we once thought based their ideas on logic, are pushing out information with one goal in mind; they want to create a stampede, and they succeeded as the masses always fall for the same ploy. The mass mindset refuses to look at the data in a cool manner after the seeds of doubt are implanted; it’s just a matter of time before the crowd cracks and gives in to far-fetched scenarios

There is always one backbreaking correction before the end of the bull market as this bull market is extremely unusual in terms of its duration, it will likely experience two such events before dying of old age. The current correction could fall under the backbreaking category. The coronavirus is just the trigger for such an event. If it were not the coronavirus, some other event would have been found to justify the correction.

What’s going to happen now is that the masses will panic and regret it when the markets recoup. However, they will then falsely assume that the next mega correction will follow the same path, and when its time to bail out, they will continue to buy, and we all know what happens after that. At a certain point, buy the dip does not work, and that point is reached when the masses turn euphoria.

Bull Markets and Corrections

Backbreaking corrections are always painful; hence the term backbreaking; however, unlike the old days, one can’t tell which correction will turn into the backbreaking event. Look at how many times the market conned the bears over the past ten years into shorting and 90% of those shorts turned to massive losses as the market reversed course just as fast.

Even if you have one big home run, it will not cover the 90% lose rate, and more importantly, we doubt that most of the bears had the staying power to hang in there until their bets paid off. The markets are controlled by machines now, and these machines are programmed to start selling when specific targets are hit, and one selloff selling triggers another set of selling until the cycle ends. The cycle will end, and the markets will rise for no bull market has ended on a note of uncertainty.  However, keep in mind these machines are programmed by humans; hence, the only difference now is that instead of humans pressing the sell button, machines are doing it.

The media will push massive stories now talking about the upcoming bear market, ignore this noise and focus on one event; the masses were not euphoric when the markets started selling off.

Now try to spot the great depression, Black Monday.etc.  Every one of this end of the world events proved to be a buying opportunity, and that includes the notorious crash of 2008, which proved to the mother of all buying opportunities. If you look at all those “end of the world” events closely, they are blips in an otherwise massive upward trend.

There are always going to be days, weeks and sometimes months when the markets are down, but ultimately the market has trended in one direction and that is “up”. Massive fortunes were made by viewing these disaster type events through a bullish lens.  We also have Mass Psychology and the Trend Indicator on our side, both of which indicate that this downtrend at most could turn out be the backbreaking correction we spoke of recently. Every Bull Market experiences at least one and 90% of the traders falsely assume that this event marks the beginning of an extended bearish trend.

The markets always return to the mean and hence the saying the greater the deviation from the mean the better the opportunity. History clearly illustrates that ultimately, the market trends in one direction only (up).

Don’t Fall For This Rubbish

The guys predicting the demise of the world will have to crawl under the rock they emerged from when this incident passes away as has been the case with all the previous end of the world scenarios. The current pullback/crash should be viewed through a bullish lens for the long term trader.

This could prove to be a fantastic buying opportunity for traders willing to take a risk. Don’t focus on the short term but on the long term, history indicates that the markets have an uncanny ability to trend upwards. Bears that have been beating the markets will crash have a dismal long term record. Markets trend upwards once the dust settles and this time will prove to be no different

Take a look at how many people die a day from other causes and the flu http://bit.ly/32wVaQA

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

 

Stocks surged in the final minutes of trading on Monday, snapping back from one of the worst weeks for global markets since the 2008 financial crisis as investors seized on promises that the world’s governments would step in to help if the global economy was slammed by the outbreak of the coronavirus.

The S&P 500 jumped 4.6 percent, the biggest single-day leap since late December 2018. The rally followed news that central bankers from the world’s biggest economies would join a conference call with Group of 7 finance ministers on Tuesday to discuss a response to the outbreak, fueling expectations among investors that governments might lower interest rates in tandem.

“It has already stoked expectations of a coordinated cut,” Roberto Perli, a former Fed researcher who is now an economist at Cornerstone Macro, said in an email. “If it doesn’t happen, it will only add to market volatility.”

But Mr. Perli did not see it as a sign that a simultaneous cut with other global central banks was necessarily coming. Nor did Seth Carpenter, another former Fed researcher, now at UBS. “The rally in equities today has perversely probably made it easier for the Fed to sit back and wait to see what happens,” he said in an email. Full Story

 

The Stock Market Might Not Reflect the Full Impact of Coronavirus

Although China said last Friday that half of major industrial firms in Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shanghai were back to work after the coronavirus quarantine, Gavekal Research analyst Andrew Batson notes few are operating at capacity. Batson examined traffic congestion in China’s largest wealthiest cities, coal use at six major power producers, and property sales volumes across 30 major Chinese cities. While each measure has stabilized after plummeting since mid-January, all remain significantly depressed.

Batson’s findings suggest the impact of the coronavirus outbreak is far from priced into financial markets, meaning stocks could have further to fall after Monday’s brutal selloff.

So far this week the S&P 500 has tumbled 4.4%, erasing this year’s gains and leaving the index down 1.2% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, has dropped 4.4% and is down 3% this year. The turmoil began Monday following news over the weekend that the virus is spreading beyond China. A surge of cases were reported in South Korea, Iran and Italy. The World Health Organization said in its latest update Monday that outside of China, there were 2074 cases of coronavirus and 23 deaths in 28 countries.

The economy as a whole still looks to be operating at less than half of normal capacity, Batson says, adding that although those figures should continue to pick up, “a full return to normal still awaits a definitive all-clear signal.” Full Story

 

Financial markets around the globe slumped on Monday as news of the Italian coronavirus outbreak wiped £62bn off the value of the FTSE 100 and shares on Wall Street tumbled.

Shares came under heavy selling pressure in key markets as analysts warned that the threat of tougher quarantine measures outside China to prevent the spread of the disease would hit company profits by hitting supply chains and consumer demand. Investors rushed to buy “safe haven” investments such as gold to protect against steep losses on the stock markets, sending the price of the precious metal to a seven-year high of $1,683 (£1,303) an ounce.

US stock markets had their worst day in two years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by over 1,000 points, or about 3%, in New York as investors in the world’s largest economy priced in the possibility of a deeper global economic shock.

In a note to investors Goldman Sachs cut its US growth forecast from 1.4% to just 1.2% for the first quarter. “An increasing amount of companies [are] suggesting potential production cuts should supply chain disruptions persist into Q2 or later,” wrote Jan Hatzius, Goldman’s chief US economist

The FTSE 100 index in London lost 247 points to 7,156.83, a 3.3% drop and its worst worst percentage fall since January 2016. Among the worst-hit stocks on the list of the UK’s biggest public companies was the budget airline easyJet, which lost £1bn in value as the stock fell by more than 16%. Full Story

Mcdonalds menu: McDonald’s boss fired after dating employee

Mcdonalds menu: McDonald's boss fired

Mcdonalds menu:  McDonald’s boss Steve Easterbrook fired after dating employee

McDonald’s has fired its chief executive Steve Easterbrook after he had a relationship with an employee.

The US fast food giant said the relationship was consensual, but Mr Easterbrook had “violated company policy” and shown “poor judgement”.

In an email to staff, the British businessman acknowledged the relationship and said it was a mistake.

“Given the values of the company, I agree with the board that it is time for me to move on,” he said.

Mr Easterbrook, 52, who is divorced, first worked for McDonald’s in 1993 as a manager in London before working his way up the company.
He left in 2011 to become boss of Pizza Express and then Asian food chain Wagamama, before returning to McDonald’s in 2013, eventually becoming its head in the UK and northern Europe.

He was appointed chief executive of McDonald’s in 2015.

Mr Easterbrook is widely credited with revitalising the firm’s menus and restaurants, by remodelling stores and using better ingredients. The value of its shares more than doubled during his tenure in the US.

Under his leadership, McDonalds menu also expanded its delivery and mobile payment options to emphasise convenience.

The fast food giant’s board voted on Watford-born Mr Easterbrook’s departure on Friday after a review.

He has also stepped down as McDonald’s president and member of the board. Full Story

 

Is this the world’s scariest island?

Stromboli is the most remote of Italy’s seven Aeolian Islands. This summer, two major explosions shook the island, killing an Italian hiker and causing 70 people to be evacuated. Still, 300 residents chose to live directly under one of the world’s most active volcanoes and love this magnetic island. Full Story

 

Uncovering the pyramid of Polynesia consumed by the jungle

The Pulemelei Mound is one of the most important archaeological sites in Polynesia. Mostly referred to as a pyramid, the reasons for its construction remain unknown. Full Story

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Tulsi Gabbard 2020 presidential Campaign

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Tulsi Gabbard 2020 presidential Campaign: Release documents related to Saudis and 9/11

NEW YORK (AP) — Democratic presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard says federal authorities must release the findings of their investigation into the Saudi government’s role in the Sept. 11 attacks.

The Hawaii congresswoman said Tuesday in New York City that families who lost loved ones in the attacks “want the truth, and they deserve the truth.”

Gabbard was joined by victims’ relatives who have filed a federal lawsuit seeking the release of documents that they believe link the attackers to Saudi government officials.

She told family members gathered at a museum near the World Trade Center that it’s time to hold U.S. leaders accountable “for withholding the truth from the American people.”

Messages seeking comment were left with the U.S. Department of Justice and with an attorney for the Saudi government. Full Story

Hillary Clinton’s attacks on Tulsi Gabbard are embarrassing

Hillary Clinton has kept a relatively low profile since her embarrassing 2016 election defeat, popping up only occasionally to make out-of-touch elitist comments that confirm why she lost. So it was somewhat surprising to hear her weigh in on the 2020 Democratic primary with a truly bizarre comment about (of all people) Tulsi Gabbard.

Clinton accused the Hawaii congresswoman of being groomed by outside forces, saying: “I think they’ve got their eye on somebody who is currently in the Democratic primary and are grooming her to be the third-party candidate … She’s the favorite of the Russians.” There is some dispute about whether Clinton meant it was the Russians or Republicans who were pushing a third-party Gabbard candidacy, but a Clinton spokesman asked about the comments replied “if the nesting doll fits”, clearly implying it was dastardly Russians.
Gabbard immediately hit back hard, calling Clinton (accurately) “the queen of warmongers, embodiment of corruption, and personification of the rot that has sickened the Democratic party for so long”. While hosts of The View backed up Clinton, calling Gabbard a “useful idiot”, others such as the Vermont senator Bernie Sanders and South Bend’s mayor, Pete Buttigieg, suggested that Clinton ought to have had some evidence before implying something so outrageous about a Democratic elected official.

But it was typical Clinton. Paranoia about Russian influence has been ubiquitous among the Clinton set since 2016, in part because it helps to explain how the loss to Donald Trump wasn’t really Clinton’s fault. Full Story

 

Who is Tulsi Gabbard? The progressive 2020 hopeful praised by Bannon and the right

Gabbard’s unorthodox positions and conflicts with fellow Democrats could emerge as stumbling blocks in her campaignTom McCarthy in New YorkPresidential hopeful Tulsi Gabbard addresses an audience during a meet and greet, 17 February 2019, in North Hampton, New Hampshire.
Presidential hopeful Tulsi Gabbard addresses an audience during a meet and greet, on 17 February 2019, in North Hampton, New Hampshire. Photograph: Steven Senne/AP
Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard is not afraid to take a stand.

For a promising young Democrat in 2015, one of the seemingly worst places to be was on the wrong side of Hillary Clinton, who – barring some bizarre twist – was on her way to becoming America’s next president.

Yet Gabbard, then a 34-year-old second-term congresswoman from Hawaii with both combat experience and a radiant smile, had the temerity to cross Clinton by calling for additional debates between Clinton and her opponent in the Democratic primary race, Bernie Sanders. Full Story

 

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Nobel prize: How cells sense oxygen

Nobel prize: How cells sense oxygen

Nobel Prize 2019: Three scientists who discovered how cells sense and adapt to oxygen levels.

Sir Peter Ratcliffe, of the University of Oxford and Francis Crick Institute, William Kaelin, of Harvard, and Gregg Semenza, of Johns Hopkins University share the physiology or medicine prize.

Their work is leading to new treatments for anaemia and even cancer.

The role of oxygen-sensing is also being investigated in diseases from heart failure to chronic lung disease.
he Swedish Academy, which awards the prize, said: “The fundamental importance of oxygen has been understood for centuries but how cells adapt to changes in levels of oxygen has long been unknown.”

Oxygen levels vary in the body, particularly:

during exercise
at high altitude
after a wound disrupts the blood supply
And when they drop, cells rapidly have to adapt their metabolism.

Why does this matter?
The oxygen-sensing ability of the body has a role in the immune system and the earliest stages of development inside the womb.

If oxygen levels are low, it can trigger the production of red blood cells or the construction of blood vessels to remedy this.

More red blood cells mean the body is able to carry more oxygen and is why athletes train at altitude.

So, drugs that mimic it may be an effective treatment for anaemia. Full STory

 

‘Sex for grades’: Undercover in West African universities

Academic institutions in West Africa have increasingly been facing allegations of sexual harassment by lecturers. This type of abuse is said to be endemic, but it’s almost never proven.

After gathering dozens of testimonies, BBC Africa Eye sent undercover journalists posing as students inside the University of Lagos and the University of Ghana. Full Story

 

What Japan can teach us about cleanliness?

The students sit with their satchels on their desks, eager to get home after another long day of seven 50-minute classes. They listen patiently as their teacher makes a few announcements about tomorrow’s timetable. Then, as every day, the teacher’s final words: “OK everybody, today’s cleaning roster. Lines one and two will clean the classroom. Lines three and four, the corridor and stairs. And line five will clean the toilets.” Full Story

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Withdraw pension early

Withdraw pension early

Withdraw pension early: Tell Me Sweet Little Lies 

And that is how the Pension lie was conceived; continue reading to find out the details:

The world is going to end, the US dollar is going to crash, Gold will soar to the Moon, and Pigs will fly over it. Well, we added the last bit to throw in some humour. Are you not sick of the stories talking about how things are only set to worsen? If you add all the proclamations made by these so-called wise men for the past 100 years, the world as we know should have ended several times over.

The fact that it has not points out that all those wise pundits were wise only when compared to the reliable donkey.  Life is very short, and most people spend a vast amount of their time focussing on what was, what should be and what could be. How about trying a new approach; enjoy the moment, for that, is all you have.  If you have a decent roof over your head, money in the bank and food, you are infinitely better off than over 50% of the world. Let that sink in for a moment. Anything more than that pushes you, even further up the rung of well-being.

Early Pension Pitfalls: Seeking Wealth Is not Bad, But…..

At least seek it with a smile and not a frown. Enjoy the day as a child would. Have you seen how children can have so much fun with so little and how when they grow up they can’t even have half the fun despite having 10 times more?  We seek things that we are not even sure we need; the seeds were incepted starting from your first trip to the brainwashing centre (otherwise known as school), and if allowed to grow, these fears turn into gigantic monsters.

For example, each year, the experts keep stating a person needs more and more money to retire; here is the sad fact, by the time the average person retires, he/she will be a living zombie. Free thought will be a thing of the past; worse yet, you work until you are 65, but the average life expectancy in the USA is 78.6 years.

So let’s get this straight, give up the best years of your life, worry throughout that time if you will have enough to retire, and you only have 13 years to enjoy it. Well, it sounds perfectly sane, doesn’t it? Waste the best years of your life, worrying about the worst years of your life. What could possibly go wrong with such a scenario? Keep in mind that the average life expectancy has been dropping in the USA for the third year in a row. 

Early retirement Lie; One needs significantly less than the experts claim

The sad fact is you don’t even need half of the ridiculous figures experts are pushing because even at ¼ of the stated figures which are surpassing one million, most of the world’s population stands no chance of achieving the stated goal. The stated goal like everything mass media and the experts push is to get the masses to buy into the lie they are selling and sow the seeds of doubt. Doubt then gives way to fear and paranoia and the rest, as they say, is history.

How do people get their info? Don’t they see the world through a prism? What is this prism for most individuals; TV, and Mass Media?  What if the intention were to provide the masses with the wrong image or ideas, therefore no matter how hard they tried to solve the problem, they would fail, as they would be analysing the wrong data. Think of Pluto’s allegory of the caves.

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

Random views on Withdraw pension early

Early pension release rules
Early pension release, or pension unlocking, means withdrawing money from your pension before the minimum age of 55. Unless you meet specific conditions, you’ll be charged a substantial amount of tax and could risk losing all of your savings to scammers.

Can I release money from my pension?
Following pension reforms in 2015, you can now withdraw as much of your pension as you want from the age of 55. There are some exceptions that entitle you to access your pension earlier, but you may have to pay high fees. Whatever age you decide to withdraw your pension, there are a few things you’ll need to consider.
Once you’ve had your 55th birthday you’ll be allowed to release money from your personal or workplace pension. You can withdraw up to 25% of your pot tax-free, either as a lump sum or in smaller installments adding up to 25%. It doesn’t matter how big or small your pension pot is, everyone is entitled to take a quarter of their savings without paying income tax.

When deciding what to do with the remainder of your pension, there are four main options to consider. You can cash out your pension and withdraw your entire pot in one go, or in a series of lump sums. If you choose this method it’s important to consider the tax implications, as large withdrawals can push you into a higher tax band, especially if you’re still employed and earning a salary. Full Story

Changes to pension rules introduced in 2015 mean you’ve greater access to your pension. But you still need to be wary of pension liberation scams, which claim you can get access to your pension early.

Pension liberation scammers claim they can get your money from pensions before you’re 55, but the huge fees and taxes you’ll pay can leave you with nowt for retirement and now scammers are targetting the over 55s as well.
Changes to pensions that came into effect in April 2015 mean that from age 55 onwards you can get access to as much of your pension money as you like, when you want it.

Despite these changes, the cruical fact still remains that you can only get access to your pension pot when you turn 55. This means that ‘pension liberators’, who claim you can gain access to your pension money sooner, are trying to get you to break the law.

Pension liberation

Pension liberation’s a scam that claims to release cash from people’s pension pots before they reach age 55. Promises of early cash are false and are likely to result in you paying big bills, in some cases leaving people with no savings for retirement. Do NOT confuse this with Pensions Liberation Day, which some people call the day (6 April) when pension freedom came into effect.

Victims are usually contacted by email, phone or text by fraudsters trying to trick them into transferring their pension funds to bogus arrangements for a commission fee. Full Story

Use this guide to find out if you are eligible to take money out of your pension from the age of 55. It contains some of the key facts and information you need to consider and ends with answers to some of the most common questions we are asked.

The headline facts at a glance
As long as you are aged 55 or over and have the right kind of pension then you can take money from it. The amount you withdraw is completely up to you and the first 25% is tax free. As you might have guessed, the rest is taxed as income. It is worth mentioning that taking money from your pension in this way is often referred to as pension access or pension release.

Are you eligible for pension release?
Why are so many people taking money from their pension early?
Thousands of people across the UK are taking money from their pension pot early to tackle a current pressing need or opportunity. In our experience some of the most common reasons include:

Tackling a long-standing financial commitment such as a mortgage, loan or credit card.
Supporting a family member with a big life event such as a wedding or deposit.
Making important upgrades to the house.
These are just a few examples and you might have a completely different reason for wanting to take money early from your pension. Full Story