What happens if the stock market crashes?

stock market crashes

The stock market has been a popular investment avenue for individuals and organizations for many years. Despite its popularity, many experts continue to make predictions about when the stock market is going to crash, and these predictions have often proven to be wrong. In fact, going back to the Tulip bubble in the 1600s, the history of the stock market is filled with examples of experts who claimed to know when the market would crash, yet they were consistently incorrect.

One of the reasons why experts continue to make these incorrect predictions is because the stock market is inherently unpredictable. Market crashes are usually caused by a combination of factors, such as changes in government policies, geopolitical events, economic downturns, and unexpected developments in technology. It is difficult, if not impossible, for anyone to predict when and how these factors will come into play. As a result, predictions about the stock market’s future are often based on speculation and intuition, rather than sound analysis.

Another reason why experts get it wrong is that they often overlook the market’s underlying strength. Despite its volatility, the stock market has proven to be resilient over the long term, and has consistently delivered returns to investors who are willing to hold onto their investments for the long haul. This resilience is due in part to the market’s ability to absorb shocks, recover from downturns, and continue to grow, even during times of economic turbulence.

From a bullish perspective, a stock market crash can be seen as a buying opportunity. During a market crash, prices of stocks often fall dramatically, and investors who are willing to take advantage of the dip can buy high-quality stocks at a lower price. Over time, as the market recovers, these stocks are likely to appreciate in value, delivering substantial returns to the investor.

On the other hand, a contrarian perspective would argue that a stock market crash is a sign of systemic problems in the economy. During a market crash, investors are usually panicked, and they tend to sell their stocks, causing prices to fall even further. This creates a vicious cycle, as investors become increasingly pessimistic and sell even more of their stocks, causing prices to fall even more. A contrarian would argue that a market crash is not a buying opportunity, but rather a sign that it’s time to get out of the market and wait for better times.

In conclusion, while experts continue to make predictions about when the stock market will crash, their track record has been consistently poor. The stock market is inherently unpredictable, and its resilience over the long term suggests that it’s often wise to ignore the noise and focus on building a diversified portfolio that is well-positioned to withstand short-term turbulence. Whether a market crash is seen as a buying opportunity or a warning sign will depend on the perspective of the investor, but it is important to understand that, over the long term, the stock market has proven to be a reliable investment vehicle for those who are willing to be patient and stick to their investment plan.

Pray tell, in these times of economic turmoil and financial insecurity, it seems as though the masses are quick to bemoan the stock market and its tumultuous ways. Yet, it is often the case that such bearishness proves to be unwarranted, for as the great sage Warren Buffett has oft stated, the markets are a veritable guarantee to rise in the long term.

And so, even as the specter of market crashes looms large, the astute investor must not be swayed by the rabble’s fearmongering. Nay, rather one should view these tempests as opportunities to buy quality stocks at a discounted price. For, when the masses are in a state of panic and selling off, the wise investor takes advantage, backed by the knowledge that the central bankers of the world shall not let the markets falter for long.

Indeed, look around and observe the various stimulus programs being announced. Money shall continue to flood the markets, and the fear of the masses shall be assuaged. So, embrace the corrections, good sir or madam, for they shall bring bountiful opportunities for those who have the foresight to see it.

Conclusion

Ah, but let us not forget, amidst all the uncertainty and turmoil, that a market crash can be a rare and wondrous opportunity for those with the mettle to seize it! For when the masses panic and sell off their stock in a frenzied haste, the astute investor sees not Chaos and despair, but a veritable feast of bargains and opportunities waiting to be claimed!

Indeed, as the smoke clears and the dust settles, the shrewd investor calmly approaches the market, seeking out the gems that have been cast aside by the masses in their blind panic. And as they fill their portfolios with these undervalued treasures, they bask in the knowledge that they have outmanoeuvred their less insightful counterparts and emerged from the crash not merely unscathed, but richer for the experience.

So, let the market crash if it must! For those with a contrarian spirit and an unwavering faith in their own instincts, it is but a minor bump in the road, an obstacle to be overcome on the path to riches and success!

Achieving Financial Goals with Intelligent Investing Strategies

Intelligent Investing

Intelligent investing strategies seek to minimize risk and maximize returns through the use of thoughtful, data-driven approaches. These strategies aim to make informed decisions based on a deep understanding of market trends, economic indicators, and other relevant factors, rather than relying on gut feelings or emotional reactions.

One popular approach to intelligent investing is value investing, which seeks to identify undervalued stocks that have the potential to grow in the future. This approach is based on the idea that stocks are priced based on their earnings potential, and that by identifying stocks that are trading at a lower price relative to their earnings, investors can achieve higher returns over the long-term.

Another intelligent investing strategy is factor investing, which seeks to identify and invest in stocks that have certain characteristics, such as high dividend yields or strong momentum. This approach is based on the idea that these characteristics are indicative of future stock performance and can be used to generate higher returns.

Additionally, intelligent investing strategies often involve the use of modern technology and data analysis, such as artificial intelligence and machine learning, to identify market trends and make informed investment decisions. By utilizing these cutting-edge tools, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make better-informed decisions.

Intelligent investing strategies aim to provide investors with a disciplined, data-driven approach to the stock market, helping them to minimize risk and maximize returns over the long-term. By utilizing a combination of value investing, factor investing, and modern technology, investors can achieve success and achieve their financial goals

Uranium Futures price chart

uranium futures price

Uranium futures price chart: Is Uranium Ready To Rally

By any estimate, the uranium market is trading in the extremely oversold ranges, but when the trend is down, a market can trend into the extreme of extremely oversold ranges, and we have seen this occur many times in the past.  The 15-year chart illustrates that the next layer of support comes into play in the $21.50-$22.00 ranges, so despite being extremely oversold the market still has room to trend lower. One positive is that the trend is about to turn neutral and if it does it would be the first move into the neutral zone in a very long time.

uranium futures price graph 5 years

Source:www.indexmundi.com/

Taking a long-term view; a monthly close above $35 would be needed to indicate that a multi-month bottom is in place.  From a contrarian perspective, uranium would start to look quite tempting at any level below $23.00.

Source:www.indexmundi.com/

On the five year chart, Uranium is has broken through former support (27.50-28.00) now turned resistance and it appears that almost all the ingredients are in place for a test of the $21.50-$22.00ranges.

uranium futures price chart 15 years

Fundamentals Relating To Uranium Price

Uranium costs about $60 a pound to produce and yet mining companies can barely get $30.00 a pound for it. At some point, something has got to give, and that will most likely be the mines. More and more mines will close up shop and call it quits, and it is not easy to bring an offline mine online again; it takes time to get an inactive mine back online.

Countries like Japan, Germany and a host of other nations dreaming of giving up on Nuclear energy are well just dreaming. Japan is now re-embracing nuclear, as will Germany and or any other country with hopes to wean itself away from Nuclear power.  It is either Nuclear power or Coal, and since these countries claim to be fighting global warming, they will rather embrace Nuclear than coal.

From the fundamental perspective, the picture looks quite compelling, but fundamentals tend to paint a falsely positive picture. If we take a look at Cameco, one of the top players in this sector, the technical picture is far from positive. Despite trading in the oversold ranges, the stock broke down after posting a surprise second-quarter loss.

CCJ - Uranium Graph 5 years

The brown dotted lines represent the multiple levels of support the stock has broken through; in fact, the stock has just traded below is 2004 lows. We would not be surprised if it dipped to $8.50 with a possible overshoot to $7.20 before a long-term bottom takes hold.  If uranium trades lower but Cameco’s stock price does not take the same path, it will trigger a positive divergence signals and such signals are usually indicative of a bottom.

Conclusion

Overall while there are many factors in the fundamental arena calling for a bottom, the technical outlook has improved and Crowd Psychology illustrates that this sector is still being ignored. The ideal strategy would be to use sharp pullbacks to add to or start a new position.

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

Random views on Uranium Futures price chart

Uranium is a silvery-white metallic element that is malleable, ductile, very dense and naturally radioactive. Uranium has several important industrial applications, but its principle use is as a fissionable material (atoms that can be split apart to release energy) to produce nuclear fuel for electricity generation. Miners worldwide extract about 62,000 metric tons of uranium annually. The quest for cleaner, more environmentally-friendly fuels has propelled the growth of the nuclear industry in electricity generation. As a result, uranium has become an increasingly valuable commodity in world markets. How Did Uranium Usage Evolve? Civilizations have used uranium compounds for centuries. Archaeologists found yellow glass with 1% uranium oxide in an ancient Roman villa near Naples, Italy. In the later Middle Ages, glassmakers used pitchblende extracted from silver mines to color glass. However, chemists didn’t formally isolate uranium as an element until the 19th century. In 1789, Martin Heinrich Klaproth, a German chemist, discovered uranium oxide in the mineral pitchblende. Although he believed the compound contained a new element, he failed to produce uranium on its own. Full Story

Uranium Futures Trading Basics

Uranium futures are standardized, exchange-traded contracts in which the contract buyer agrees to take delivery, from the seller, a specific quantity of uranium (eg. 250 pounds) at a predetermined price on a future delivery date.

Uranium Futures Exchanges
You can trade Uranium futures at New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

NYMEX Uranium futures prices are quoted in dollars and cents per pound and are traded in lot sizes of 250 pounds .
Uranium Futures Trading Basics
Consumers and producers of uranium can manage uranium price risk by purchasing and selling uranium futures. Uranium producers can employ a short hedge to lock in a selling price for the uranium they produce while businesses that require uranium can utilize a long hedge to secure a purchase price for the commodity they need.

Uranium futures are also traded by speculators who assume the price risk that hedgers try to avoid in return for a chance to profit from favorable uranium price movement. Speculators buy uranium futures when they believe that uranium prices will go up. Conversely, they will sell uranium futures when they think that uranium prices will fall. Full Story

 

stock market performance 2019

Stock Market Performance 2018 ytd

Stock Market 2018 Graph: The trend is your friend

Stock market performance 2019: Financial experts continue to state that the markets are going to crash, even though their record since this bull market started back in 2009 has been dismal to the say the least.  To complicate matters, some of these same experts suddenly jump ship and start to paint a bullish picture until the markets start to pull back. Then they falsely assume that the markets are going to crash and start singing the “market is going to crash” song again.

Market sentiment is not extremely bullish, though the bullish sentiment has been trending upwards since Feb of this year.  Crowd psychology states that one should only abandon the ship when the masses are euphoric. As that’s not the case, there is no reason to abandon the ship.

The Market has shed some weight, but given the massive run-up, this market has experienced this falls well within the normal ranges of an acceptable correction. In fact, the Dow could drop all the way to 21,500 without having any effect on the trend.

Stock market outlook 2018 still bullish according to TI Dow Theory

Our alternative Dow Theory states that the Dow follows the Utilities and unless the utilities drop to new lows the markets will continue trading within a wide range.  The utilities have held up very well when one considers all the outside factors; extremely volatile geopolitical situation (trade wars, disputes with our NATO allies, etc.) and the extremely polarised way the masses are behaving. One would think that we are just one step away from a civil war.

Until the sentiment changes or the utilities drop to new lows, your best bet is to use strong pullbacks to purchase quality stocks.

Most financial experts are closer to clowns than experts, and most financial sites are on par with tabloids; their sole function is to create bombastic titles with little to no subject matter to back their faulty assertions.    One would be best served by taking their advice with a barrel of salt and a shot of whiskey.

Focus on Mass Psychology and identify the sentiment that’s driving the masses.  The Crowd drives the markets, and if you identify the emotion that’s driving them, you can determine the trend of the market.

Tactical Investor stock market 2018 outlook is also validated by the Dow Transports. Note that they are also holding up well and unless they trade below 9500 on a monthly basis, the outlook will remain bullish.  The trend is your friend and everything else is your foe.   As the trend is positive,  view sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens; the stronger the deviation, the better the opportunity.

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

Random views on Stock Market 2018 Graph

2018 was a record-setting year for stocks, but it’s one investors would rather forget.

The Dow fell 5.6%. The S&P 500 was down 6.2% and the Nasdaq fell 4%. It was the worst year for stocks since 2008 and only the second year the Dow and S&P 500 fell in the past decade. (The S&P 500 and Dow were down slightly in 2015, but the Nasdaq was higher that year.)
December was a particularly dreadful month: The S&P 500 was down 9% and the Dow was down 8.7% — the worst December since 1931. In one seven-day stretch, the Dow fell by 350 points or more six times. This year’s Christmas Eve was the worst ever for the index.
The S&P 500 was up or down more than 1% nine times in December alone, compared to eight times in all of 2017. It moved that much 64 times during the year.
2018 wasn’t all bad. The S&P 500 set an all-time record on September 20, and the Dow closed at its record on October 3. The Dow also closed more than 1,000 points higher on December 26 — the first time it ever accomplished that feat.
But 2018 will be remembered for its extreme volatility. The VIX volatility index spiked, and CNN Business’ Fear & Greed Index has been stuck in “Extreme Fear” throughout much of the year. The Dow has swung 1,000 points in a single session only eight times in its history, and five of those took place in 2018. Full Story

Unlike last year, when the stock market rose steadily — and considerably — in the first quarter, Wall Street has gotten off to a disappointing and disconcerting start in 2018.

As concerns have shifted back and forth from a sluggish economy to an overheating one, the market has taken investors on a roller coaster ride, resulting in poor returns and testing investors’ strategy and resolve.

A SLUGGISH START
Unlike last year, stocks stumbled at the start of 2018.
Making matters worse, there has been no place to hide in the stock market so far this year.

In the first quarter, losses were felt across the board — not only in sectors that performed well at the start of 2017 but in both economically sensitive areas of the market (such as real estate and basic materials) and defensive areas (such as consumer staples and utilities).
Meanwhile, market volatility has come back with a vengeance.

Wall Street strategists typically look at the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index to judge the rockiness of the market. And by that gauge, which measures fear based on options trading, volatility returned to levels seen in the financial crisis years.

But there’s a simpler way to judge how shaky the market is, and that’s to count the number of days in which stocks climb or fall by 1% or more. In the first quarter of 2018, there were 25 such trading days, more than in any full year since 2009. Full Story

Here are some ingredients for stock-market gloom: A trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies, a Federal Reserve pushing the yield curve toward inversion, and a U.S. president under investigation by an independent counsel.

But enough about 1994.

Seriously, though, investors might want to take a look back at the events of the same year that brought the world Forrest Gump and the founding of a plucky little company called Amazon for a “possible analog” to the current stock market environment, argued Tony Dwyer, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note that highlights the chart below, one that looks somewhat similar to the pattern seen in 2018.
The S&P 500 index SPX, -0.53% fell 1.5% in 1994, according to FactSet, while the index is down 3.9% in the year to date in 2018.

Dwyer emphasized that the backdrops now and in 1994 aren’t exactly alike, but said there are enough similarities between the current political, macroeconomic, Fed policy and market environment to that year to potentially offer some insights.

Moreover, if 1994 and 2018 share similar backdrops, does 1995 offer a guide to 2019? Dwyer noted that after the near-doubling of short-term interest rates in 1994, the first half of 1995 saw just 0.5% annualized gross domestic product growth. The Fed, however, remained worried about inflation and hiked interest rates one more time in February. Full Story

 

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Covid 19 deaths in US: Is The Media telling the Truth

Covid 19 deaths in US: Is The Media telling the Truth

Consider the following data and decide for yourself

  • Over 22K people will die today from hunger; this is probably one of the most horrible of ways to die

  • 110K have died so far from this year’s flu, and roughly 650K die a year from respiratory-related diseases

  • 70K mothers have already died this year giving birth

  • They have been over 242K suicides this year

  • 1.7 million children under the age of five have died this year http://bit.ly/32wVaQA

  • 1.25 million people die every year in road crashes https://bit.ly/2vId4UJ

  • more than 270K pedestrians die each year https://bit.ly/2QEW7BN

  • 88K will die from alcohol-related causes only in the USA https://bit.ly/2QEW7BN

  • 22K Brits will die because of prescriptions mix-ups https://bit.ly/2QDMm6U

  • Between 250K to 440K will die as a result of medical errors in America https://cnb.cx/33DF9cg

  • two decades worth of analysis reveals that over 100K Americans will die because of taking prescription drugs. A recent study states that the figure is close to 128K. https://bit.ly/39cYtOw

  • This article from the NCBI database states that 100K Americans died as a result of medical errors, and it’s dated 1999. https://bit.ly/3dxoRGy

  • 68.5K Americans died from drug overdoses in 2018 https://cnn.it/2xhpEL6

We have not mentioned Cancer, smoking and cardiovascular diseases, all of which kill millions per year. What about the innocent children dying every day? They don’t matter. What’s shocking is that the other viruses that were deadlier did not even receive the same amount of attention. When all the above data is taken into consideration, the COVID 19 deaths in the US, while serious is nothing we should be panicking over.

Don’t focus only on the number of deaths but look at the mortality rate and then compare it to that of COVID-19.

Let’s take a closer look at the situation in the U.S. and New York

USA and world COVID data

The U.S. is finally ramping up testing, and hopefully, every state starts to open up drive through testing centres like N.Y. New York finally decided to emulate South Korea. Based on the above figures, the overall death rate for the U.S. across all age groups is 3 percent, a far cry from the gloom and doom all the self-appointed experts have been laying out. Several thousand children under the age of five will die today, and yet no one declares an emergency for those poor children who are completely defenceless.

Let’s zoom in to New York the epicentre USA only COVID data

Given all doom and gloom projections, the death rates in California should be higher than in New York. New York is an anomaly because the Governor and the mayor were asleep at the wheel and a large number of deaths were reported from nursing homes. However, despite over 670K individuals in California being infected with COVID, the mortality rate is only 1.8%. The overall death rate across of all age groups in South Korea now stands at 1.7% based on the latest data obtained from worldmeters.com and it’s quite comparable to that of California.

interesting COVID data table

So pray do tell, where do these experts, including the governor and mayor of NYC, get off by issuing such gloomy forecasts. Taking action is one thing but fostering an atmosphere that is driven by fear is not the way to deal with such a situation.

China has ended the lockdown so that has to be viewed through a bullish lens and they continue to spray neighbourhoods with disinfectants to knock out the coronavirus. Even Indonesia is doing this, and we suspect a host of other nations will follow suit. Why are America and the rest of the West not adopting a similar strategy? It seems that Asian countries are leading the way in terms of taking a novel approach when it comes to dealing with this virus.

https://bit.ly/2JaCHR5

https://bit.ly/3dpkCN2

https://bit.ly/2wzdfSG

None of the data at hand supports the outrageous claims many officials and experts are putting forth. While the COVID 19 deaths in the US are trending upwards, they don’t even come close to matching the death rate of cancer, smoking, cardiovascular-related deaths, etc.

New York City, which is now the epicentre for America, has a remarkably low death rate. The media and duly elected officials should be broadcasting this information all over the place, to show the crowd that there is a light at the end of the tunnel. However, they seemed fixated on broadcasting only one side of the picture.

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Stock Market Update

Stock Market Update Service

Stock Market Watch is our most popular and oldest stock market update service. As numerous upgrades and 2 upgrades are sent out through email.

 Market Update Service

1) Each couple two comprehensive updates are shipped out; one round the centre of this month and the next near the end of the month. In between as many upgrades necessary are routed out.

2) Every problem includes the industry comment segment. Within this part, the management, the tendency and the arrangement of this market are analyzed.

3) At least 5-10 brand new plays are issued in every upgrade………. The performs fall under these categories. To learn more, click on some of the classes below.

  • Resource plays
  • Trend plays that are based on our trend indicator
  • Insider plays
  • Value plays,
  • Seasonal trend plays
  • Momentum plays

4) Our proprietary indices are updated each time deemed necessary. For information on these proprietary see please here. Bonus for Joining now additionally, we provide an amazing bonus known as the safety centre. We give you with the ability. Imagine being able to browse the internet. Don’t be duped. The majority of the services leak facets of your IP address out. This is called IP flow and high-cost charges. The support we’ll advocate is anonymous with no IP escape.

About what’s given in the security centre for details, please click here. In our view, this is priceless as you’re supplied you with ways to completely reclaim your privacy and maintain it like that. Best of 95% of these tips will cost you, the remaining 5 percent along with nothing endure a very moderate price. For complete details on the service click on Stock Market Watch: Tactical Investor Past Calls

Stock Market Update: Fintech

Fintech is a mix of the words”fund” and”engineering,” and it is a broad category that includes businesses that employ new technologies to financial companies. Businesses that develop electronic solutions could be regarded as run and as might build payment software.

The possibility of fintech is really exciting. Even following the payments area in the last couple of years’ increase, the vast majority of payment arrangements around the globe are done in money. And though banking associations that online provide fee arrangements and interest rates which are far greater than those of banks, nearly all consumers utilize banking due to their needs.

As stated, fintech is a wide term that describes some firm that applies technology into the area of finance. There are various kinds of businesses which fall beneath the umbrella that is fintech. Merely to name a couple: Payment processing Online and mobile banking peer-to-peer and Online (P2P) creditors Person-to-person obligations Financial applications Fiscal services over the last several decades, Square (NYSE: SQ) has evolved out of a means for retailers to accept credit cards with their cell phone to a large scale small-business and respective financial ecosystem.

Possibly Square’s most fascinating portion is its own Money App, with 24 million active users going to infinite capability and 2020 to build its own service offerings out.

 

 

Emotions shouldn’t be involved in the Stock Market Update

Most of us know we shouldn’t mix our minds with a bull stock market, but that’s exactly what we risk doing if we concentrate on operation over five or fewer years. Given that this bull market is about to enter into its sixth season, it’s a fantastic bet that a number of the best consultants in the preliminary performance positions only look like geniuses. 1 way to mostly eliminate the use of fortune is to focus over a whole market cycle — one that includes a bear market. Performance advisers are focusing on functionality since the years because then encircle both the current bull market but also the worst bear market since the Great Depression.

Their annualized returns range from 9.7% to 16.7 percent, versus 6% to the dividend-adjusted S&P 500 index. Note that, because the majority of the performers over this period try to maintain their version portfolios near fully invested in any way times, they can be expected to suffer big losses during a bear market. However, if the future resembles the past, come out ahead of those who take part in market time — and they can create more during other occasions to more than makeup for these losses.

 

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Stock Market Quotes and Sayings

Stock Market Quotes and Sayings

Warren Buffett usually has produced a lot of great stock market quotes in regards to the discipline of investing; his own guidance concerning purchasing and selling real stocks isn’t always sage. He’s made two errors; IBM he got at the very top and outside in the base and he jumped to Apple in the time and proceeded to heap in because the stock dropped. But generally, when he doesn’t venture into technology stocks, his record appears to be pretty great, provided one is prepared to maintain these investments for a lengthy period When investors get too scared or too greedy, they sometimes hide behind the idea that. It is always distinct in the brain of the masses, but in fact, its the exact same old story.

That’s the reason why the masses are on the side of this marketplace and never triumph. Mass psychology says that you ought to purchase when the masses market with they’re euphoric and fear.

Insight to Buffett’s successful investment mindset

“Don’t take annual results too badly. Rather, focus on five-year averages” “Turnarounds rarely turn.”

“2 super-contagious ailments, greed and fear, will permanently happen in the investment area. The timing of those epidemics will be unpredictable. Risk comes from not understanding what it is you’re doing.”

On endurance, in 3 cases “It is much better to buy a superb company at a good price, than a fair company at a great price.” Warren Buffett has contributed several insights through time into what is needed to be a successful investor.

We will discuss a few of those quotations and words of knowledge now:

“If Berkshire purchases common stock, we approach the trade like we’re buying into a personal business enterprise.”

“Accounting effects don’t affect our functioning or capital-allocation decisions. When acquisition prices are alike, we prefer to buy $2 of earnings which aren’t reportable by us below normal accounting principles compared to buy 1 of earnings which are reportable.”

Buffett Stock Market Quotes On being clever and being powerful …

By investing in an index fund, the know-nothing investor could actually outperform many investment professionals” My take on such an issue: If you need above-average consequences with below-average dangers, make periodic investments in index funds and leave the money there until you want it.”

Now let us consider some other Warren Buffett stone which has his ideas on the worth of value investing, the non-value of forecasts, after the herd, the tarnish of gold as an investment, and much more. Buffett on Identifying New Investment OpportunitiesHe says investors should search for something that they have in common with all the business in question and that it’s far better to invest in fewer firms rather than purchasing various inventory in various businesses.

He also believes that one should purchase a stock with the intention of holding it for the Long Run, forever if a potential “Unless it is possible to see your inventory holding decrease by 50 percent without getting panic-stricken, you ought not to be at the stock exchange.”

“Risk could be greatly decreased by focusing on just a few holdings”

“It’s optimism that’s the enemy of the rational buyer”

“Whether we are talking about stocks or socks, I enjoy purchasing a quality product when it’s discounted.”

That is what worth investing is all about. Do not let greed and fear alter your investment criteria and worth. Avoid being overrun. Never market into a panic. Buffet only invests in businesses he knows and thinks have predictable or stable merchandise for the subsequent 10 — 15 decades. That is the reason tech businesses have been prevented by him. Heal investing in stock as if you’re purchasing the whole business. I take a look since this is the price of a business.

It is the price you’d be paying for your business if you could purchase the company at current prices. He’d rather pay a reasonable price for a fantastic business than a minimal price for a fair business. Investment opportunities become accessible through wide market corrections or stocks which become deals. These aren’t occasions.

If you took all the gold on earth, it would roughly make a block 67 feet on a side… Now for the exact same block of gold, it’d be worth at the current market prices approximately $7 trillion — that is probably about a third of their value of all of the stocks in the USA. For $7 trillion you might have roughly seven Exxon Mobil Firms and a hundred bucks of cash. … If you offered me the option of looking at a 67-foot block of gold daily,… call me mad, but I will choose the farmland and the Exxon Mobil Firms.

 

Top 4 Stock Market Quotes

1. “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” – Benjamin Franklin

When it comes to investing, nothing will pay off more than educating yourself. Do the necessary research, study, and analysis before making any investment decisions.
2. “Bottoms in the investment world don’t end with four-year lows; they end with 10- or 15-year lows.” – Jim Rogers

While 10- to 15-year lows are not common, they do happen. During these down times, don’t be shy about going against the trend and investing; you could make a fortune by making a bold move or lose your shirt. Remember quote #1 and invest in an industry you’ve researched thoroughly. Then, be prepared to see your investment sink lower before it turns around and starts to pay off.
3. “I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffett

Be prepared to invest in a down market and to “get out” in a soaring market, as per the philosophy of Warren Buffett.
4. “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.” – Phillip Fisher

Another testament to the fact that investing without an education and research will ultimately lead to regrettable investment decisions. Research is much more than just listening to popular opinion. Read more

Stock Market Sayings & Quotes

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.
John Templeton

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
John Maynard Keynes

Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
Peter Lynch

If you pay peanuts, you get monkeys.
James Goldsmith

You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don’t understand that’s going to happen, then you’re not ready, you won’t do well in the markets.
Peter Lynch

Set your mind on a definite goal and observe how quickly the world stands aside to let you pass.
Napoleon Hill

It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
George Soros

It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that, you’ll do things differently.
Warren Buffett

Business opportunities are like buses, there’s always another one coming.
Richard Branson

The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different’.
Sir John Templeton Read more

 

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US Dow Jones Outlook

US Dow Jones Stock Outlook

US Dow Jones Stock Market outlook

Huge amounts of money have abandoned the marketplace suggesting the audience is panicking at the incorrect time. History illustrates the Crowd is not right over the long term; they undergo moments of success but these minutes dwarf years of declines when the markets take off, they’re made to survive.
The Dow Jones market has now dipped under 27K (on monthly basis), and so There’s a fantastic chance that one of the 2 results we prefer can come to pass:

The Dow falls fast and hard into the 25,500 into 26,000 ranges, the audience stampedes and in doing so produce a beautiful long-term chance for Tactical Investor. The industry pull-back a little and after those tendencies sideways and in doing this pushes our signs to the oversold ranges.

That’s the reason the rewards are very significant and that’s the reason there’s not any reward, but it requires effort to stay calm in the face of fear although it requires no effort. Mass Psychology shows you shouldn’t follow the herd since they do the incorrect thing at the ideal time.

Before we get in the perspective lets look at what we have stated over the last few months:
The strategy under these circumstances is to make use of pullbacks to start places in businesses; the more powerful the pullback, the greater the chance. We can see indications which 2018 ought to be a fantastic season for those markets. Individuals awaiting the entry points will likely be left.

They wish they’d purchased, as they did back in 2009, 2015, 2018 and currently in 2020 and will return at the entrance points. If push comes to shove, they bend and drop for the exact same play, although the audience never learns they state that they need to try out something fresh.
It requires a particular sort of dumb to be a Permabear; the one that a million hard slaps won’t change.

Permabears have a death wish; for nothing else could describe this means of thinking, they’re begging to be taken to the cleaners. A simple evaluation of any term graph will establish that being a Permabear is not likely to pay off. There’s not a single long term graph that may prove that carrying a position, in the long term, has paid off.

Copper continues to devote a pattern and we all guess it won’t be long then until the markets burst, after the MACD’s on the graphs encounter a crossover.

In the event the market pulls back, it is a bonus, and that is precisely why we also adopt the position that if the trend is upward; the more powerful the stalks, the greater the chance. Because the tendency is upward pullbacks should be looked at as Christmas bonuses. Pullbacks may be used to start or add to the present rankings of one.

An individual can observe that from crashes, corrections that are powerful or a long-term perspective, are not anything but purchasing opportunities. Buy when there is blood flowing on the roads once the herd turns off and run to your life.

As stated by the alternative Dow Theory, when the Dow utility commerce to fresh highs, it suggests the general market will follow suit sooner than after.

US Dow Jones predictions 2020

At this point, anyone may probably get their Dow Jones predictions wrong, as the international economic aftermath of the coronavirus can’t be anticipated while the crisis persists.

On the flip side, an analysis of the index’s components and its own historical behaviour during and after certain disasters could stage investors in the right direction when it comes to drafting a potential Dow Jones index forecast for 2020.

So far, the major stock indices across the world have lost a significant portion of their value, with the DJIA falling by nearly 30 percent, followed with the S&P 500 that has lost nearly 28 per cent and the FTSE 100 whose worth has dropped by 26 per cent since February 20, when the markets starting falling off a cliff without any signs of recovery on the horizon.

However, no academic could predict a worldwide pandemic like the coronavirus outbreak because the ultimate cause for a worldwide recession, and to be honest, that would?
-Or worse, will the Dow Jones go up anywhere near its pre-coronavirus degree in the not too distant future?

Many economists have been warning that a possible recession was right at the corner, pointing out to many variables and deploying notions. These included a possible passive-investment bubble, the deceleration of the global market because of a supply-demand imbalance, and possibly damaging aftermath of this continuing (yet paused) US-China trade warfare.

2020/07/14. US Dow Jones Industrial Average index forecast for next months and years.

Dow Jones forecast for July 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of July 25735. Maximum value 26639, while minimum 23270. The averaged index value for month 25100. Index at the end 24755, change for July -3.8%.

DJIA forecast for August 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of August 24755. Maximum value 25241, while minimum 22383. The averaged index value for month 24048. Index at the end 23812, change for August -3.8%.

Dow Jones forecast for September 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of September 23812. Maximum value 25498, while minimum 22612. The averaged index value for month 23994. Index at the end 24055, change for September 1.0%. Read more

Dow Jones Forecast For 2020 And 2021

This Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021 relies on our 2 major indicators: Treasury prices as well as the Russell 2000. The first one states that’danger on’ is currently returning to markets, another one was’risk-on’ is starting as soon as the Russell 2000 index crosses 1625 points.
Based on the components within this guide we conclude that the likelihood of stock markets moving greater in 2020 and 2021 is large. Our Dow Jones forecast is bullish for 2020 and 2021. This implies that we can reasonably anticipate returns in stock markets.
We strongly recommend readers to subscribe to our free newsletter as we will be publishing those high potential multi-baggers we identify in 2020.
Our prediction to the Dow Jones is bullish for 2020 and 2021! We predict a peak to 32,000 points at the Dow Jones in 2020 and the index will rise further in 2021.
What we are interested in is to understand whether the stock bull market is the place to be spent in for 2020 and 2021. We want to be invested in bull market trends, and this will be helped with by the Dow Jones forecast.
As said before we’re watching out of markets that eventually become a multi-bagger in 6 to 9 months time. We dedicated earlier Forecasting The 3 Top Opportunities Per Year Becomes InvestingHaven’s Mission. We can know in which way to look for all these returns that are extraordinary if we get the level tendency.

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US market live data chart and commentaries

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Permabear – A Special Kind Of A Stupid One

Technology Driven Deflation Will Kill The Inflation Monster

Nothing about 1987 stock market crash anniversary

Nickel Stocks Has Put In A long Term Bottom

AMD vs Intel

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Politics and Technology

politics and technology

China speeds ahead of U.S. as quantum race escalates, worrying scientists

U.S. and other Western scientists voice awe, and even alarm, at China’s quickening advances and spending on quantum communications and computing, revolutionary technologies that could give a huge military and commercial advantage to the nation that conquers them. The concerns echo — although to a lesser degree — the shock in the West six decades ago when the Soviets launched the Sputnik satellite, sparking a space race. In quick succession, China in recent months has utilized a quantum satellite to transmit ultra-secure data, inaugurated a 1,243-mile quantum link between Shanghai and Beijing, and announced a $10 billion quantum computing center. “To me, what is alarming is the level of coordination of what they’ve done,” said Christopher Monroe, a physicist and pioneer in quantum communication at the University of Maryland. Full Story

Another confirmation that China is destined to be new the powerhouse and will probably hold this title for over 100 years after it moves to the top spot. China has focussed on developing trade; their second focus has been their military as they are primarily merchants at heart. They are going to win this battle for one reason; at the end of the day, they are going to have the biggest purse. As the saying goes “money talks and BS walks.

 

Xi Tells Zuckerberg and Cook China’s Set for ‘Unprecedented’ Reform

Chinese President Xi Jinping used a meeting with Facebook Inc. founder Mark Zuckerberg and Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook to announce that his nation is embarking on reform with “unprecedented determination and vigor.”

Less than a week into his second five-year term at the helm of the world’s second-largest economy, Xi’s remarks may underscore a shift toward loosening of restrictions on doing business in China. The nation is “willing to work with the U.S.,” Xi said, according to an official Xinhua report, adding that he’s looking forward to President Donald Trump’s visit next week.

Though use of Facebook’s social networking platform is blocked in China, the leadership from Xi down have increased pledges to open up to foreign companies across the economy. Xi was speaking at an event with overseas members of the Tsinghua University School of Economics and Management advisory board on Monday.

“China is willing to work with the US, to take a long-term perspective, care for each other’s mutual interests, and appropriately handle disagreements and contradictions,” Xi said. “We have an optimistic attitude toward the prospects for China-U.S. relations.” Full Story

This is the trend we have been speaking off for a while and which we just addressed in the last interim update. Asia led by China will move and more towards the direction of free markets and freedom, while the US will and the West will seek to restrain the populace.

The New Silk Road will go through Syria

Take what happened this past Sunday in Beijing. The China-Arab Exchange Association and the Syrian Embassy organized a Syria Day Expo crammed with hundreds of Chinese specialists in infrastructure investment. It was a sort of mini-gathering of the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), billed as “The First Project Matchmaking Fair for Syria Reconstruction”.

And there will be serious follow-ups: a Syria Reconstruction Expo; the 59th Damascus International Fair next month, where around 30 Arab and foreign nations will be represented; and the China-Arab States Expo in Yinchuan, Ningxia Hui province, in September.

Amid the proverbial doom and gloom pervading all things Syria, the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune sometimes yield, well, good fortune.

Take what happened this past Sunday in Beijing. The China-Arab Exchange Association and the Syrian Embassy organized a Syria Day Expo crammed with hundreds of Chinese specialists in infrastructure investment. It was a sort of mini-gathering of the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), billed as “The First Project Matchmaking Fair for Syria Reconstruction”.

And there will be serious follow-ups: a Syria Reconstruction Expo; the 59th Damascus International Fair next month, where around 30 Arab and foreign nations will be represented; and the China-Arab States Expo in Yinchuan, Ningxia Hui province, in September.

Qin Yong, deputy chairman of the China-Arab Exchange Association, announced that Beijing plans to invest $2 billion in an industrial park in Syria for 150 Chinese companies.

Nothing would make more sense. Before the tragic Syrian proxy war, Syrian merchants were already incredibly active in the small-goods Silk Road between Yiwu and the Levant. The Chinese don’t forget that Syria controlled overland access to both Europe and Africa in ancient Silk Road times when, after the desert crossing via Palmyra, goods reached the Mediterranean on their way to Rome. After the demise of Palmyra, a secondary road followed the Euphrates upstream and then through Aleppo and Antioch.

Beijing always plans years ahead. And the government in Damascus is implicated at the highest levels. So, it’s not an accident that Syrian Ambassador to China Imad Moustapha had to come up with the clincher: China, Russia and Iran will have priority over anyone else for all infrastructure investment and reconstruction projects when the war is over. Full Story

Read this story in Detail for it provides some of the reasons of why America has lost its place in the Middle East and why Syria was Russia’s red line in the sand.  Most importantly, it reveals how strong the relationship between China and Russia is and why these two nations are set to dominate the world stage for decades to come.

 

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Dow Jones predictions

Dow Jones predictions: The Dow appears to have broken through the top of the Channel formation that fell in the 20,800-21,000 ranges. If it closes above 21,300 on a monthly basis then despite the markets being overbought, the Dow could surge past 22K before running into a strong zone of resistanceMarket Update June 18, 2017

Give the resiliency of this market; the Dow could very easily trade to 22K before it trades to 19K.  The masses need to show some enthusiasm; if they don’t and the market pulls back strongly, then it has to be viewed as a screaming buy.  For now, the masses seem to be locked in the pessimistic mode.

The bullish sentiment has never traded to the 60% ranges even once this year; it did not even make it to the 55% ranges, and that is very telling. On the same token, the number of individuals in the neutral camp has generally continued to trend higher and higher.  Market Update July 6, 2017 

What’s next for the Dow Jones?

Not only did the Dow Jones trade to 22K but it surpassed this target and is now dangerously close to striking 23K.  The sentiment is still not bullish, so the path of least resistance is upward.  As for Dow 30K;  there is a good chance that the Dow could strike this target. We discuss that in full detail in this article titled “Dow Could Trade to 30K But not before This Happens ”

If you prefer to watch a video; then the video covers the essential points of the above article

Dow forecast by longforecast.com

2020/01/03. Dow Jones Industrial Average index forecast for next months and years.

Dow Jones forecast for January 2020.
The forecast for beginning of January 28538. Maximum value 29368, while minimum 26044. Averaged index value for month 27914. Index at the end 27706, change for January -2.9%.

DJIA forecast for February 2020.
The forecast for beginning of February 27706. Maximum value 28512, while minimum 25284. Averaged index value for month 27100. Index at the end 26898, change for February -2.9%.

Dow Jones forecast for March 2020.
The forecast for beginning of March 26898. Maximum value 29007, while minimum 25723. Averaged index value for month 27248. Index at the end 27365, change for March 1.7%. Read More

 

Dow forecast by investinghaven.com

Our Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021 is strongly bullish. We expect the Dow Jones to peak near 32,000 points in 2020. It will continue its rise in 2021. We forecast a crash in the Dow Jones in 2022. Investors should get the maximum out of the bullish potential from our Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021. Note that this another critical piece in our annual series of forecasts because it paints a very clear picture of our general market forecasts for 2020: bullish stock market (not only this bullish Dow Jones forecast but all global stock markets), bullish peak in precious metals, some commodities bullish, strongly bullish crypto markets.

Why This Dow Jones Prediction?
What we are really interested in is to understand whether the stock bull market is the place to be invested in for 2020 and 2021. We want to be invested in bull market trends, and the Dow Jones prediction will help with this.

As said before we are on the lookout of markets that become a multi bagger in 6 to 9 months time. We committed before on this: Forecasting The 3 Top Opportunities Per Year Becomes Invsting Haven’s Mission. If we get the high level trend right we can know in which direction to look for these extraordinary returns. Read More

 

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