Stock Market Update

Stock Market Update Service

Stock Market Watch is our most popular and oldest stock market update service. As numerous upgrades and 2 upgrades are sent out through email.

 Market Update Service

1) Each couple two comprehensive updates are shipped out; one round the centre of this month and the next near the end of the month. In between as many upgrades necessary are routed out.

2) Every problem includes the industry comment segment. Within this part, the management, the tendency and the arrangement of this market are analyzed.

3) At least 5-10 brand new plays are issued in every upgrade………. The performs fall under these categories. To learn more, click on some of the classes below.

  • Resource plays
  • Trend plays that are based on our trend indicator
  • Insider plays
  • Value plays,
  • Seasonal trend plays
  • Momentum plays

4) Our proprietary indices are updated each time deemed necessary. For information on these proprietary see please here. Bonus for Joining now additionally, we provide an amazing bonus known as the safety centre. We give you with the ability. Imagine being able to browse the internet. Don’t be duped. The majority of the services leak facets of your IP address out. This is called IP flow and high-cost charges. The support we’ll advocate is anonymous with no IP escape.

About what’s given in the security centre for details, please click here. In our view, this is priceless as you’re supplied you with ways to completely reclaim your privacy and maintain it like that. Best of 95% of these tips will cost you, the remaining 5 percent along with nothing endure a very moderate price. For complete details on the service click on Stock Market Watch: Tactical Investor Past Calls

Stock Market Update: Fintech

Fintech is a mix of the words”fund” and”engineering,” and it is a broad category that includes businesses that employ new technologies to financial companies. Businesses that develop electronic solutions could be regarded as run and as might build payment software.

The possibility of fintech is really exciting. Even following the payments area in the last couple of years’ increase, the vast majority of payment arrangements around the globe are done in money. And though banking associations that online provide fee arrangements and interest rates which are far greater than those of banks, nearly all consumers utilize banking due to their needs.

As stated, fintech is a wide term that describes some firm that applies technology into the area of finance. There are various kinds of businesses which fall beneath the umbrella that is fintech. Merely to name a couple: Payment processing Online and mobile banking peer-to-peer and Online (P2P) creditors Person-to-person obligations Financial applications Fiscal services over the last several decades, Square (NYSE: SQ) has evolved out of a means for retailers to accept credit cards with their cell phone to a large scale small-business and respective financial ecosystem.

Possibly Square’s most fascinating portion is its own Money App, with 24 million active users going to infinite capability and 2020 to build its own service offerings out.

 

 

Emotions shouldn’t be involved in the Stock Market Update

Most of us know we shouldn’t mix our minds with a bull stock market, but that’s exactly what we risk doing if we concentrate on operation over five or fewer years. Given that this bull market is about to enter into its sixth season, it’s a fantastic bet that a number of the best consultants in the preliminary performance positions only look like geniuses. 1 way to mostly eliminate the use of fortune is to focus over a whole market cycle — one that includes a bear market. Performance advisers are focusing on functionality since the years because then encircle both the current bull market but also the worst bear market since the Great Depression.

Their annualized returns range from 9.7% to 16.7 percent, versus 6% to the dividend-adjusted S&P 500 index. Note that, because the majority of the performers over this period try to maintain their version portfolios near fully invested in any way times, they can be expected to suffer big losses during a bear market. However, if the future resembles the past, come out ahead of those who take part in market time — and they can create more during other occasions to more than makeup for these losses.

 

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Stock Market Quotes and Sayings

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AMD vs Intel

BitCoin VS Precious Metals

Stock Market Quotes and Sayings

Stock Market Quotes and Sayings

Warren Buffett usually has produced a lot of great stock market quotes in regards to the discipline of investing; his own guidance concerning purchasing and selling real stocks isn’t always sage. He’s made two errors; IBM he got at the very top and outside in the base and he jumped to Apple in the time and proceeded to heap in because the stock dropped. But generally, when he doesn’t venture into technology stocks, his record appears to be pretty great, provided one is prepared to maintain these investments for a lengthy period When investors get too scared or too greedy, they sometimes hide behind the idea that. It is always distinct in the brain of the masses, but in fact, its the exact same old story.

That’s the reason why the masses are on the side of this marketplace and never triumph. Mass psychology says that you ought to purchase when the masses market with they’re euphoric and fear.

Insight to Buffett’s successful investment mindset

“Don’t take annual results too badly. Rather, focus on five-year averages” “Turnarounds rarely turn.”

“2 super-contagious ailments, greed and fear, will permanently happen in the investment area. The timing of those epidemics will be unpredictable. Risk comes from not understanding what it is you’re doing.”

On endurance, in 3 cases “It is much better to buy a superb company at a good price, than a fair company at a great price.” Warren Buffett has contributed several insights through time into what is needed to be a successful investor.

We will discuss a few of those quotations and words of knowledge now:

“If Berkshire purchases common stock, we approach the trade like we’re buying into a personal business enterprise.”

“Accounting effects don’t affect our functioning or capital-allocation decisions. When acquisition prices are alike, we prefer to buy $2 of earnings which aren’t reportable by us below normal accounting principles compared to buy 1 of earnings which are reportable.”

Buffett Stock Market Quotes On being clever and being powerful …

By investing in an index fund, the know-nothing investor could actually outperform many investment professionals” My take on such an issue: If you need above-average consequences with below-average dangers, make periodic investments in index funds and leave the money there until you want it.”

Now let us consider some other Warren Buffett stone which has his ideas on the worth of value investing, the non-value of forecasts, after the herd, the tarnish of gold as an investment, and much more. Buffett on Identifying New Investment OpportunitiesHe says investors should search for something that they have in common with all the business in question and that it’s far better to invest in fewer firms rather than purchasing various inventory in various businesses.

He also believes that one should purchase a stock with the intention of holding it for the Long Run, forever if a potential “Unless it is possible to see your inventory holding decrease by 50 percent without getting panic-stricken, you ought not to be at the stock exchange.”

“Risk could be greatly decreased by focusing on just a few holdings”

“It’s optimism that’s the enemy of the rational buyer”

“Whether we are talking about stocks or socks, I enjoy purchasing a quality product when it’s discounted.”

That is what worth investing is all about. Do not let greed and fear alter your investment criteria and worth. Avoid being overrun. Never market into a panic. Buffet only invests in businesses he knows and thinks have predictable or stable merchandise for the subsequent 10 — 15 decades. That is the reason tech businesses have been prevented by him. Heal investing in stock as if you’re purchasing the whole business. I take a look since this is the price of a business.

It is the price you’d be paying for your business if you could purchase the company at current prices. He’d rather pay a reasonable price for a fantastic business than a minimal price for a fair business. Investment opportunities become accessible through wide market corrections or stocks which become deals. These aren’t occasions.

If you took all the gold on earth, it would roughly make a block 67 feet on a side… Now for the exact same block of gold, it’d be worth at the current market prices approximately $7 trillion — that is probably about a third of their value of all of the stocks in the USA. For $7 trillion you might have roughly seven Exxon Mobil Firms and a hundred bucks of cash. … If you offered me the option of looking at a 67-foot block of gold daily,… call me mad, but I will choose the farmland and the Exxon Mobil Firms.

 

Top 4 Stock Market Quotes

1. “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” – Benjamin Franklin

When it comes to investing, nothing will pay off more than educating yourself. Do the necessary research, study, and analysis before making any investment decisions.
2. “Bottoms in the investment world don’t end with four-year lows; they end with 10- or 15-year lows.” – Jim Rogers

While 10- to 15-year lows are not common, they do happen. During these down times, don’t be shy about going against the trend and investing; you could make a fortune by making a bold move or lose your shirt. Remember quote #1 and invest in an industry you’ve researched thoroughly. Then, be prepared to see your investment sink lower before it turns around and starts to pay off.
3. “I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffett

Be prepared to invest in a down market and to “get out” in a soaring market, as per the philosophy of Warren Buffett.
4. “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.” – Phillip Fisher

Another testament to the fact that investing without an education and research will ultimately lead to regrettable investment decisions. Research is much more than just listening to popular opinion. Read more

Stock Market Sayings & Quotes

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.
John Templeton

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
John Maynard Keynes

Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
Peter Lynch

If you pay peanuts, you get monkeys.
James Goldsmith

You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don’t understand that’s going to happen, then you’re not ready, you won’t do well in the markets.
Peter Lynch

Set your mind on a definite goal and observe how quickly the world stands aside to let you pass.
Napoleon Hill

It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
George Soros

It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that, you’ll do things differently.
Warren Buffett

Business opportunities are like buses, there’s always another one coming.
Richard Branson

The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different’.
Sir John Templeton Read more

 

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US Dow Jones Outlook

US Dow Jones Stock Outlook

US Dow Jones Stock Market outlook

Huge amounts of money have abandoned the marketplace suggesting the audience is panicking at the incorrect time. History illustrates the Crowd is not right over the long term; they undergo moments of success but these minutes dwarf years of declines when the markets take off, they’re made to survive.
The Dow Jones market has now dipped under 27K (on monthly basis), and so There’s a fantastic chance that one of the 2 results we prefer can come to pass:

The Dow falls fast and hard into the 25,500 into 26,000 ranges, the audience stampedes and in doing so produce a beautiful long-term chance for Tactical Investor. The industry pull-back a little and after those tendencies sideways and in doing this pushes our signs to the oversold ranges.

That’s the reason the rewards are very significant and that’s the reason there’s not any reward, but it requires effort to stay calm in the face of fear although it requires no effort. Mass Psychology shows you shouldn’t follow the herd since they do the incorrect thing at the ideal time.

Before we get in the perspective lets look at what we have stated over the last few months:
The strategy under these circumstances is to make use of pullbacks to start places in businesses; the more powerful the pullback, the greater the chance. We can see indications which 2018 ought to be a fantastic season for those markets. Individuals awaiting the entry points will likely be left.

They wish they’d purchased, as they did back in 2009, 2015, 2018 and currently in 2020 and will return at the entrance points. If push comes to shove, they bend and drop for the exact same play, although the audience never learns they state that they need to try out something fresh.
It requires a particular sort of dumb to be a Permabear; the one that a million hard slaps won’t change.

Permabears have a death wish; for nothing else could describe this means of thinking, they’re begging to be taken to the cleaners. A simple evaluation of any term graph will establish that being a Permabear is not likely to pay off. There’s not a single long term graph that may prove that carrying a position, in the long term, has paid off.

Copper continues to devote a pattern and we all guess it won’t be long then until the markets burst, after the MACD’s on the graphs encounter a crossover.

In the event the market pulls back, it is a bonus, and that is precisely why we also adopt the position that if the trend is upward; the more powerful the stalks, the greater the chance. Because the tendency is upward pullbacks should be looked at as Christmas bonuses. Pullbacks may be used to start or add to the present rankings of one.

An individual can observe that from crashes, corrections that are powerful or a long-term perspective, are not anything but purchasing opportunities. Buy when there is blood flowing on the roads once the herd turns off and run to your life.

As stated by the alternative Dow Theory, when the Dow utility commerce to fresh highs, it suggests the general market will follow suit sooner than after.

US Dow Jones predictions 2020

At this point, anyone may probably get their Dow Jones predictions wrong, as the international economic aftermath of the coronavirus can’t be anticipated while the crisis persists.

On the flip side, an analysis of the index’s components and its own historical behaviour during and after certain disasters could stage investors in the right direction when it comes to drafting a potential Dow Jones index forecast for 2020.

So far, the major stock indices across the world have lost a significant portion of their value, with the DJIA falling by nearly 30 percent, followed with the S&P 500 that has lost nearly 28 per cent and the FTSE 100 whose worth has dropped by 26 per cent since February 20, when the markets starting falling off a cliff without any signs of recovery on the horizon.

However, no academic could predict a worldwide pandemic like the coronavirus outbreak because the ultimate cause for a worldwide recession, and to be honest, that would?
-Or worse, will the Dow Jones go up anywhere near its pre-coronavirus degree in the not too distant future?

Many economists have been warning that a possible recession was right at the corner, pointing out to many variables and deploying notions. These included a possible passive-investment bubble, the deceleration of the global market because of a supply-demand imbalance, and possibly damaging aftermath of this continuing (yet paused) US-China trade warfare.

2020/07/14. US Dow Jones Industrial Average index forecast for next months and years.

Dow Jones forecast for July 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of July 25735. Maximum value 26639, while minimum 23270. The averaged index value for month 25100. Index at the end 24755, change for July -3.8%.

DJIA forecast for August 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of August 24755. Maximum value 25241, while minimum 22383. The averaged index value for month 24048. Index at the end 23812, change for August -3.8%.

Dow Jones forecast for September 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of September 23812. Maximum value 25498, while minimum 22612. The averaged index value for month 23994. Index at the end 24055, change for September 1.0%. Read more

Dow Jones Forecast For 2020 And 2021

This Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021 relies on our 2 major indicators: Treasury prices as well as the Russell 2000. The first one states that’danger on’ is currently returning to markets, another one was’risk-on’ is starting as soon as the Russell 2000 index crosses 1625 points.
Based on the components within this guide we conclude that the likelihood of stock markets moving greater in 2020 and 2021 is large. Our Dow Jones forecast is bullish for 2020 and 2021. This implies that we can reasonably anticipate returns in stock markets.
We strongly recommend readers to subscribe to our free newsletter as we will be publishing those high potential multi-baggers we identify in 2020.
Our prediction to the Dow Jones is bullish for 2020 and 2021! We predict a peak to 32,000 points at the Dow Jones in 2020 and the index will rise further in 2021.
What we are interested in is to understand whether the stock bull market is the place to be spent in for 2020 and 2021. We want to be invested in bull market trends, and this will be helped with by the Dow Jones forecast.
As said before we’re watching out of markets that eventually become a multi-bagger in 6 to 9 months time. We dedicated earlier Forecasting The 3 Top Opportunities Per Year Becomes InvestingHaven’s Mission. We can know in which way to look for all these returns that are extraordinary if we get the level tendency.

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Technology Driven Deflation Will Kill The Inflation Monster

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Politics and Technology

politics and technology

China speeds ahead of U.S. as quantum race escalates, worrying scientists

U.S. and other Western scientists voice awe, and even alarm, at China’s quickening advances and spending on quantum communications and computing, revolutionary technologies that could give a huge military and commercial advantage to the nation that conquers them. The concerns echo — although to a lesser degree — the shock in the West six decades ago when the Soviets launched the Sputnik satellite, sparking a space race. In quick succession, China in recent months has utilized a quantum satellite to transmit ultra-secure data, inaugurated a 1,243-mile quantum link between Shanghai and Beijing, and announced a $10 billion quantum computing center. “To me, what is alarming is the level of coordination of what they’ve done,” said Christopher Monroe, a physicist and pioneer in quantum communication at the University of Maryland. Full Story

Another confirmation that China is destined to be new the powerhouse and will probably hold this title for over 100 years after it moves to the top spot. China has focussed on developing trade; their second focus has been their military as they are primarily merchants at heart. They are going to win this battle for one reason; at the end of the day, they are going to have the biggest purse. As the saying goes “money talks and BS walks.

 

Xi Tells Zuckerberg and Cook China’s Set for ‘Unprecedented’ Reform

Chinese President Xi Jinping used a meeting with Facebook Inc. founder Mark Zuckerberg and Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook to announce that his nation is embarking on reform with “unprecedented determination and vigor.”

Less than a week into his second five-year term at the helm of the world’s second-largest economy, Xi’s remarks may underscore a shift toward loosening of restrictions on doing business in China. The nation is “willing to work with the U.S.,” Xi said, according to an official Xinhua report, adding that he’s looking forward to President Donald Trump’s visit next week.

Though use of Facebook’s social networking platform is blocked in China, the leadership from Xi down have increased pledges to open up to foreign companies across the economy. Xi was speaking at an event with overseas members of the Tsinghua University School of Economics and Management advisory board on Monday.

“China is willing to work with the US, to take a long-term perspective, care for each other’s mutual interests, and appropriately handle disagreements and contradictions,” Xi said. “We have an optimistic attitude toward the prospects for China-U.S. relations.” Full Story

This is the trend we have been speaking off for a while and which we just addressed in the last interim update. Asia led by China will move and more towards the direction of free markets and freedom, while the US will and the West will seek to restrain the populace.

The New Silk Road will go through Syria

Take what happened this past Sunday in Beijing. The China-Arab Exchange Association and the Syrian Embassy organized a Syria Day Expo crammed with hundreds of Chinese specialists in infrastructure investment. It was a sort of mini-gathering of the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), billed as “The First Project Matchmaking Fair for Syria Reconstruction”.

And there will be serious follow-ups: a Syria Reconstruction Expo; the 59th Damascus International Fair next month, where around 30 Arab and foreign nations will be represented; and the China-Arab States Expo in Yinchuan, Ningxia Hui province, in September.

Amid the proverbial doom and gloom pervading all things Syria, the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune sometimes yield, well, good fortune.

Take what happened this past Sunday in Beijing. The China-Arab Exchange Association and the Syrian Embassy organized a Syria Day Expo crammed with hundreds of Chinese specialists in infrastructure investment. It was a sort of mini-gathering of the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), billed as “The First Project Matchmaking Fair for Syria Reconstruction”.

And there will be serious follow-ups: a Syria Reconstruction Expo; the 59th Damascus International Fair next month, where around 30 Arab and foreign nations will be represented; and the China-Arab States Expo in Yinchuan, Ningxia Hui province, in September.

Qin Yong, deputy chairman of the China-Arab Exchange Association, announced that Beijing plans to invest $2 billion in an industrial park in Syria for 150 Chinese companies.

Nothing would make more sense. Before the tragic Syrian proxy war, Syrian merchants were already incredibly active in the small-goods Silk Road between Yiwu and the Levant. The Chinese don’t forget that Syria controlled overland access to both Europe and Africa in ancient Silk Road times when, after the desert crossing via Palmyra, goods reached the Mediterranean on their way to Rome. After the demise of Palmyra, a secondary road followed the Euphrates upstream and then through Aleppo and Antioch.

Beijing always plans years ahead. And the government in Damascus is implicated at the highest levels. So, it’s not an accident that Syrian Ambassador to China Imad Moustapha had to come up with the clincher: China, Russia and Iran will have priority over anyone else for all infrastructure investment and reconstruction projects when the war is over. Full Story

Read this story in Detail for it provides some of the reasons of why America has lost its place in the Middle East and why Syria was Russia’s red line in the sand.  Most importantly, it reveals how strong the relationship between China and Russia is and why these two nations are set to dominate the world stage for decades to come.

 

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Dow 22K Predicted In July 2017; Next Target Dow 30k?

Dow Jones predictions

Dow Jones predictions: The Dow appears to have broken through the top of the Channel formation that fell in the 20,800-21,000 ranges. If it closes above 21,300 on a monthly basis then despite the markets being overbought, the Dow could surge past 22K before running into a strong zone of resistanceMarket Update June 18, 2017

Give the resiliency of this market; the Dow could very easily trade to 22K before it trades to 19K.  The masses need to show some enthusiasm; if they don’t and the market pulls back strongly, then it has to be viewed as a screaming buy.  For now, the masses seem to be locked in the pessimistic mode.

The bullish sentiment has never traded to the 60% ranges even once this year; it did not even make it to the 55% ranges, and that is very telling. On the same token, the number of individuals in the neutral camp has generally continued to trend higher and higher.  Market Update July 6, 2017 

What’s next for the Dow Jones?

Not only did the Dow Jones trade to 22K but it surpassed this target and is now dangerously close to striking 23K.  The sentiment is still not bullish, so the path of least resistance is upward.  As for Dow 30K;  there is a good chance that the Dow could strike this target. We discuss that in full detail in this article titled “Dow Could Trade to 30K But not before This Happens ”

If you prefer to watch a video; then the video covers the essential points of the above article

Dow forecast by longforecast.com

2020/01/03. Dow Jones Industrial Average index forecast for next months and years.

Dow Jones forecast for January 2020.
The forecast for beginning of January 28538. Maximum value 29368, while minimum 26044. Averaged index value for month 27914. Index at the end 27706, change for January -2.9%.

DJIA forecast for February 2020.
The forecast for beginning of February 27706. Maximum value 28512, while minimum 25284. Averaged index value for month 27100. Index at the end 26898, change for February -2.9%.

Dow Jones forecast for March 2020.
The forecast for beginning of March 26898. Maximum value 29007, while minimum 25723. Averaged index value for month 27248. Index at the end 27365, change for March 1.7%. Read More

 

Dow forecast by investinghaven.com

Our Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021 is strongly bullish. We expect the Dow Jones to peak near 32,000 points in 2020. It will continue its rise in 2021. We forecast a crash in the Dow Jones in 2022. Investors should get the maximum out of the bullish potential from our Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021. Note that this another critical piece in our annual series of forecasts because it paints a very clear picture of our general market forecasts for 2020: bullish stock market (not only this bullish Dow Jones forecast but all global stock markets), bullish peak in precious metals, some commodities bullish, strongly bullish crypto markets.

Why This Dow Jones Prediction?
What we are really interested in is to understand whether the stock bull market is the place to be invested in for 2020 and 2021. We want to be invested in bull market trends, and the Dow Jones prediction will help with this.

As said before we are on the lookout of markets that become a multi bagger in 6 to 9 months time. We committed before on this: Forecasting The 3 Top Opportunities Per Year Becomes Invsting Haven’s Mission. If we get the high level trend right we can know in which direction to look for these extraordinary returns. Read More

 

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US market live data chart and commentaries

US market live dataUS market live trend

Through a difficult patch and this is not something new, however when it occurs, it seems like it is a brand-new event and the very first thing crops to mind is the term “fear” because the experts are claiming it is different this time.

They would talk less and do more if they understood what they talked about; being a bear is dangerous, for in the future US market constantly tendency higher. Now attempt to see the fantastic depression, “Black Monday” .etc.


If you have a look at all those”ends of the world occasions” closely, they are blips in an otherwise massive upward tendency.  There are always likely to be days, weeks and sometimes weeks when the markets are coming down, but ultimately the US market has trended in 1 direction which is”up”.

By viewing these disaster type events via a lens that was bullish, massive fortunes were produced. In addition, we have Mass Psychology and the Trend Indicator on our side, both of which signify that this downtrend at most could turn out be the backbreaking correction we spoke of recently. Every Bull Market experiences at one and 90% of the traders assume that this event marks the beginning of a trend.

 

US market live: Focus on Truth And Not Imagination

Take one event that most recalls, the fantastic Recession. Even if you mistimed your entrance and began to open positions before the Dow had bottomed, you would be sitting on massive gains today.

Panic should be seen via a lens that was squishy now that we are in the age of forever QE (Quantitative Easing) and above all remember when this sell-off started that the masses weren’t euphoric. There’s a time to sell, and that time appears when the masses are in a state of bliss.

When the markets sell-off, it means there will be plenty of chances, so an individual should build a list of stocks that they always wished to purchase. US market always returns to the mean and hence the saying the larger the deviation from the mean the greater the opportunity. History clearly attests that finally, the market trends in one direction only (upward).

US Market: 2021 Predictions and Projections

The Dow Jones prediction, NASDAQ prognosis and S&P predictions continue to be rosy regardless of the rocketing COVID 19 diseases in California, Texas and Florida.

A wave or the outbreaks is terrifying and upsetting Television commentators and investors it does not seem like the market wishes to slow down for the interest of this Corona Virus. Shore kids and the rioters put an attack on the nation together in hopes of shutting down the market, but it does not seem it will get the job done.

Of the indicators were down about 1 percent at the end of today, Tuesday, July 7th after yesterday that is climbing. It seems like an answer to rising COVID 19 diseases in a brand new record along with California yesterday. Nevertheless, instances have dropped from Florida.

Are superspreaders able to replicate exactly what they did last week’s bunch? Or is that the subversive threat in check? Investors Assurance and sentiment that the next shutdown will not occur isn’t 100.

He is referring to a secular bull market in which the S&P could attain 4000.

That has not occurred, although now a motion projected. Rather, all indicators are up 1 hour to trading. The inadequate excellent stock market predictions, even for a single day beforehand are alarming.

With $3 Trillion injected to the market and stimulation expected with more companies reopening, there is a reason for optimism at the stock markets.

 

2020 US Stock Market Predictions

It is an election year it’s probably the administration will do what it can to keep the decade-long bull run, ” said Ryan Grace, chief market strategist for dough, a Chicago-based brokerage company. ”

I had expected more volatility heading into the election,” he said. “I really don’t find these current below-average levels in volatility being more sustainable.
There’s a close record short position in the volatility futures now and most of us know how that ended last time in February of 2018.”

Global Economic Slowdown Could ContinueGrace said he doesn’t see a breakout in yields throughout the curve that appears to be the telephone every year.”We are
Not from the woods yet regarding the ongoing global economic downturn,” he said. “China continues to slow, there are indications that the U.S. the economy is slowing and there’s no resolution to the transaction deal yet.”

The trade war remains the biggest issue facing shareholders, but”with markets where they are now, it seems most are optimistic there is a settlement coming,” Grace said. “The real details of the bargaining thing China can buy more agricultural goods and that is fantastic for the U.S. farmers, but it does not solve any of the more structural issues that got us here in the first place.” Federal Reserve May Should Be More AccommodativeWhile the Federal Reserve, the central bankers who vote on the future of interest, has said it plans to be on hold unless something changes in the market, there’s a possibility it might happen, Grace explained.”

US market forecast for next 3 months

Is this overall recovery likely to last in the summer? That raises another question, and that’s exactly what factors are most likely to affect markets throughout the next 3 weeks?
On its face, this doesn’t appear likely to encourage a stock-market recovery. Back in April, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced: “As a consequence of the pandemic, the international market is projected to contract aggressively by 3 percent in 2020, considerably worse than during the 2008-09 fiscal meltdown.

In a baseline situation — that presumes the pandemic fades at the next half 2020 and containment attempts could be slowly unwound — the international market is projected to rise by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic action normalises, aided by coverage assistance.”

But as you could be thinking the 2021 figure doesn’t seem too bad. What’s our small stock-market rally doomed? One is that enormous amounts of bandwidth have been pumped to attempt and stabilise markets and there is. Not yet, although that service will be pulled. Rally. As a stock market crash could foretell an economic downturn, an uptrend can signal recovery. By instinct, investors and many traders prefer to walk the bright side of the road.

The lender sees the benchmark index closing annually at 3,000 – approximately 2% greater than its Friday near 2,930 – since the coronavirus hazard fades and the market stinks. Together with looming threats dragging the index at the end of the summer to 2,400 However, Goldman’s prediction reflects a drawback to its goal. The stock market’s recent surge in late-March lows is best attributed to some”fear of falling out”; mindset among investors, and doubt concerning the rally’s power stay, Goldman added.

 

Other articles of interest

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Permabear – A Special Kind Of A Stupid One

Technology Driven Deflation Will Kill The Inflation Monster

Nothing about 1987 stock market crash anniversary

Nickel Stocks Has Put In A long Term Bottom

AMD vs Intel

BitCoin VS Precious Metals

Black Monday – The stock market crash of 1987

Black Monday - The stock market crash of 1987

What caused Black Monday: The stock market crash of 1987?

Monday October 19,1987, is known as Black Monday. On that day, stockbrokers in New York, London, Hong Kong, Berlin, Tokyo and just about any other city with an exchange stared at the figures running across their displays with a growing sense of dread. A financial strut had buckled and the strain brought world markets tumbling down.

In the United States, sell orders piled upon sell orders as the Dow shed value of nearly 22%. There had been talk of the U.S. entering a bear cycle – the bulls had been running since 1982 – but the markets gave very little warning to the then-new Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan. Greenspan hurried to slash interest rates and called upon banks to flood the system with liquidity. He had expected a drop in the value of the dollar due to an international tiff with the other G7 nations over the dollar’s value, but the seemingly worldwide financial meltdown came as an unpleasant surprise that Monday.

Exchanges also were busy trying to lock out program trading orders. The idea of using computer systems to engage in large-scale trading strategies was still relatively new to Wall Street and the consequences of a system capable of placing thousands of orders during a crash never had been tested. These computer programs automatically began to liquidate stocks as certain loss targets were hit, pushing prices lower. To the dismay of the exchanges, program trading led to a domino effect as the falling markets triggered more stop-loss orders. The frantic selling activated yet another round of stop-loss orders, which dragged markets into a downward spiral. Since the same programs also automatically turned off all buying, bids vanished all around the stock market at basically the same time. Full Story

 

 

The Crash of ’87, From the Wall Street Players Who Lived It

On Wall Street, when things decline, you tend to remember. When things decline a lot, you remember the date. Oct. 19, 1987, is one such example. The biggest single-day stock market collapse in history—a 23 percent drop—rendered once-trusted ideas useless and redefined the financial landscape for market professionals.

One of them was a rising Salomon Brothers bond salesman named Michael Lewis, who had yet to pen Liar’s Poker. “The markets in a panic are like a country during a coup, and seen in retrospect that is how they were that day,” he would later write of the chaos he witnessed. “One small group of people with its old, established way of looking at the world is hustled from its seat of power.”

Black Monday, as the day became known, is part of financial history’s fossil record, a divide between old and new markets. It was the first significant instance of computer-driven trading run amok. The nascent equity options market saw assumptions based on the Black-Scholes model overturned and replaced by a more complex world of volatility skews. And Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, just two months on the job, got to glimpse a market panic and sell his first “­Greenspan Put” under the U.S. equity market. Full Story

 

 

Remembering the worst day in Wall Street history

It was a day so terrible, it will forever be known as Black Monday.

On October 19, 1987, the stock market collapsed. The Dow plunged an astonishing 22.6%, the biggest one-day percentage loss in history. Even bigger than the 1929 stock market crash, just before the Great Depression.

Nothing since Black Monday has come close. Not the selloff after the September 11 terror attacks or the 2008 financial crisis.

On that day in 1987, as the cameras rolled on the frenzied floor of the New York Stock Exchange, prices on the ticker tumbled, the panic spread, and the crash worsened. By the closing bell, the Dow stood at 1,738.74, down 508 points. Full Story

Stock Market Trends

Stock Market Trends

Tactical Investor Volatility Index Readings are Soaring

Stock Market Trends: Volatility Index readings have surged to new a high (as shown in the header image above), which means that extreme behaviour in all areas can be expected in and out of the markets. Additionally, we added new psychological data points to the V-Indicator and we suspect that this new high could correspond to a new development in the Coronavirus outbreak. Let’s hope it’s a positive one.

The ETF Trend Portfolio is our most conservative portfolio, so in the light of recent developments, one of which is that V-readings have soared to new highs, we are going to err on the side of caution.  This is a dangerous development as over the past 12 months we added a new psychological component to this indicator, and this new high corresponds to the Coronavirus outbreak.

Stock Market Volatility readings

We are not in the “panic” generating business, so there is no need to panic, but this development could mean (operative word being “could”) that China is not telling the full story. The dangerous development is in regards to extreme market volatility; the market could shed several thousand points and then recoup these losses just as fast. Most traders are not prepared for this type of action, so when the market’s pullback strongly or appear to be crashing, they will throw the baby out with the bathwater and in doing so make a colossal mistake.

China Could be downplaying the situation

In all likelihood, China is releasing selective pieces of data, but in general, the world is used to this. However, what could trigger a sharp reaction from the markets is if this data proves to be damaging. There have been previous scares before and in each case, the markets sold off, but the sell-off proved to be a buying opportunity. The last sell-off was due to the Ebola virus scare back in Oct of 2018.

In the long run, this is not a negative development as the long term trend is still bullish, so if it comes to pass, we will have an opportunity to get into stocks and ETF’s at a discount.   We have adjusted pending sell orders, stops and in some cases, cancelled pending orders on the following ETF’s.  Bottom line while prudence is warranted, Panic is not; hence focus on the trend and ignore the noise.

Volatility Index readings are high but we are not going to follow the herd

Hence the statement below refers to several dangerous trends but not the ones that come straight to one’s mind:

This is a dangerous development as over the past 12 months we added a new psychological component to this indicator, and this new high corresponds to the Coronavirus outbreak.  Interim Market Update Jan 31, 2020

We want to clarify what we mean by dangerous (in the above statement) as we don’t want anyone to falsely assume that we are embracing some of the wild conspiracy theories being put forward regarding this virus.  We analysed the data thoroughly, especially the psychological data. We also looked at data evaluated by other level headed experts; many thanks to our subscribers for providing links to some of these experts, which once again solidifies our claim that we are fortunate enough to some have some of the best minds out there as part of our community.  We have concluded that the Coronavirus issue is being blown out of proportion.

Weaponised news; A dangerous trend with no end in sight

The first trend is that news is going to be weaponised to the extreme to support whatever narrative a given group of individuals have decided to embrace or force on a subset of the crowd. Secondly, as V-readings have no surged to new highs, the market will experience more random bouts of extreme volatility and this should be embraced when the trend is positive.

Thirdly, violence (as in wars, crime, etc), wild weather patterns will be more prevalent going forward and extreme and we mean extremely stupid behaviour is going to be embraced.  Lastly, polarisation levels are going to rise to such an extreme that we could reach a point where a simple disagreement set off something akin to a mini civil war.

Back to the Coronavirus issue:

In Asia, masks are selling out like hotcakes and we suspect many stocks that are in the vaccine creation field have experienced huge price increases. In other words, a group of companies are making out like bandits, while the masses being fleeced again. The data out there states that this virus has a mortality rate of 3% and no new data has come out refuting it.

Therefore we find it quite interesting that many financial experts with no background in medicine or psychology have gone out of their way to state that the situation is on the verge of becoming a pandemic.  Too many experts believe in the deep state, while there is an apparatus that could be called the “deep state”, their understanding of this topic is limited at best.

The way these power brokers work is to indoctrinate people, so the players are willing participants or blind participants (blind as in being mentally blind and not physically blind) which boil down to the same thing. These individuals are used as cannon fodder; the objective is achieved by pandering to their wild fantasies. This objective is achieved by allow Gossip artists to masquerade as reporters. In the old days, they would be called fisherwoman.

As of now, we have found no objective data that backs the many claims non- experts are pushing regarding the Coronavirus and the only dangerous trends we see are the ones we have addressed above. Could the situation change? Yes, anything is possible, but history reveals that most naysayers are full of hot air as the world was supposed to  have officially ended a long time ago

We had pandemics before so this is nothing new

As I am typing, people are dying all over the world. In the time it took me to type this sentence, more than 15 people died.  Seventy-eight thousand people have died today, and the number will rise to 80,000 or more by the time you get this update. So far this year 9,500,000 people have died, and that number rises every second. One could state that death is a pandemic, but no one is screaming about that issue. Smoking-related and or Cancer-related deaths could be also classified as a pandemic as more than 16.6 million will die this year from both, and yet no one makes a big deal (9.6 million from cancer and seven million-plus from smoking).

To date, roughly 2860 people have died from the coronavirus, and suddenly it’s the new Black Death. To be clear, we are not making light of the situation, but so much attention is being given to this one agent when compared to other agents of death.  Here is an interesting fact; there are twice as many new births as deaths on a global basis. Live data on world deaths, birth rates, coronavirus deaths, etc. can be obtained from here http://bit.ly/32wVaQA

High Volatility Index Readings: Use This To Your Advantage

There have been more than a dozen outbreaks since 1980 and with far deadlier outcomes in some instances, but if you look at the chart above, after a knee jerk reaction, the markets trended higher. Hence, the Tactical Investor saying;  “every disaster leads to a hidden opportunity” and the only way to spot that opportunity is not to give in to panic.  We envision a similar outcome for the coronavirus, the markets could still sell-off but that sell-off should be viewed through a bullish lens.

The mass mindset is hard wired to panic. One can overcome this shortfall by observing this behavior impartially and then ask this simple question “why am I doing something that has never led to a positive outcome”.  Secondly, as we have advocated for years, one should maintain a trading journal and the best time to put pen to paper or fingers to a keyboard is when the markets are tanking. Make a note of the emotions that are swirling through your mind. Jot down some of the headlines the media is pushing out and observe the reactions from your fellowman. This information will prove to be priceless in the weeks, months, years and decades to come.

The markets are trading in the extremely overbought ranges on the weekly charts, and in theory, they should let out some steam, but the monthly charts, for now, are exerting more upward pressure than they normally do. It should be noted that the weekly charts also move relatively slowly, so there is still time for the markets to let out some steam.

Courtesy of Tactical Investor

 

What Will The Stock Market Return In 2020?

It’s the most wonderful time of the year — when investment gurus unveil their predictions for what the stock market will return in the coming year.

We expect investment experts to have crystal balls that allow them to see how the stock market is going to perform in the future. Of course, they don’t have crystal balls, and their predictions often aren’t helpful.

The problem with expert predictions of the stock market isn’t that they are wrong — which they often are — the future is uncertain, and we shouldn’t expect anyone to predict it. The problem is that investors often listen to these predictions and base investment decisions on them.

There are better ways to cope with the uncertainty of the 2020 market than listening to predictions. Before we get to those, let’s review what we can predict and what we cannot.

What We Can Predict
While the stock market follows a cycle but defies prediction, history can provide insight into what we might expect from the markets in any given year.

The histogram below displays the dispersion of returns on the S&P 500 since 1928:
As you can see, in about two-thirds of the years, the market is up and about one-third of the time it is down. The distribution is roughly a bell curve with a positive skew and a fat left tail (meaning large negative returns happen more often than a bell curve would predict). Full Story

The Top 15 Stocks to Buy in 2020

Heading into a new year, all investors want to know is what stocks they should be buying.

At the beginning of this year, I attempted to answer that question by compiling a portfolio of the top 15 stocks to buy for 2020. In mid-February, that portfolio of stocks was up a whopping 22% year-to-date.

Then, the novel coronavirus outbreak went global. Russia and Saudi Arabia started an all-out oil price war. Financial markets across the globe fell off a cliff. So did my portfolio of top stocks to buy for 2020.

But, I think now may be as good a time as any to double down on these top stocks. Coronavirus headwinds are fleeting. They will pass. Once they do, these long-term growth stocks will get back to winning.

In no particular order, the top 15 stocks to buy for 2020 in March are:

  • Facebook (NASDAQ:FB)
  • Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI)
  • Luckin Coffee (NYSE:LK)
  • Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND)
  • Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)
  • Pinterest (NYSE:PINS)
  • Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC)
  • Square (NYSE:SQ)
  • The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD)
  • Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY)
  • Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA)
  • JD.Com (NASDAQ:JD)
  • Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX)
  • Nio (NYSE:NIO)
  • Snap (NYSE:SNAP)

Without further ado, then, let’s take a look where these top stocks to buy for 2020 are going next. Full Story

 

20 Predictions for the Stock Market in 2020

t’s a brand-new year, and boy, does 2020 have some big shoes to fill. Last year, we witnessed the benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) gallop higher by nearly 29%, which is quadruple the historic average annual return of the stock market, inclusive of dividend reinvestment and when adjusted for inflation.

The big question, of course, is what might the current year hold for the broader market and investors? The following 20 predictions for the stock market in 2020 may offer some insight.
1. There will be no recession in 2020
Probably the biggest question on investors’ minds is whether a recession is brewing. While that does look to be the case following a very brief inversion of the two-year and 10-year Treasury bonds in late August, data from Credit Suisse, dating back to 1978, shows that the average recession doesn’t pop up until 22 months after the inversion occurs. Similarly, stock market returns don’t turn negative until an average of 18 months after an inversion, putting the market on track to lose its steam during the first quarter of 2021 (assuming these averages hold true).

For the time being, the longest economic expansion in U.S. history looks poised to continue.
2. The stock market will have another positive year
Despite the stock market delivering returns that were well above the historic norms in 2019, this year should deliver more gains to investors. Full Story

Big hit for oil prices – US blames Iran for Saudi strike

Big hit for oil prices - US blames Iran for Saudi strike

WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. tried to build its case Monday that Iran was behind the fiery weekend attack on key Saudi Arabian oil facilities that raised new war worries and sent energy prices spiraling worldwide. Iran denied responsibility, while President Donald Trump said the United States was “locked and loaded” to respond if necessary.

American officials released satellite images of the damage at the heart of the kingdom’s crucial Abqaiq oil processing plant and a key oil field, and two U.S. officials said the attacker used multiple cruise missiles and drone aircraft.

The Americans alleged the pattern of destruction suggested Saturday’s attack did not come from neighboring Yemen, as claimed by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels there. A Saudi military spokesman later made a similar accusation, alleging “Iranian weapons” had been used in the assault.

Iran rejected the allegations, and a government spokesman said there now was “absolutely no chance” of a hoped-for meeting between Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Trump at the U.N. General Assembly next week.
For his part, Trump sent mixed signals, saying his “locked and loaded” government waited for Saudi confirmation of Iran being behind the attack while later tweeting that the U.S. didn’t need Mideast oil “but will help our Allies!”

One U.S. official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, said the U.S. was considering dispatching additional military resources to the Gulf but that no decisions had been made. Full Story

 

Warren offers anti-corruption plan central to her campaign

NEW YORK (AP) — Elizabeth Warren has released a proposal aimed at government corruption, providing a detailed policy roadmap for a fight she says is at the core of her presidential campaign.

The Democratic senator from Massachusetts is announcing the plan Monday in Manhattan’s Washington Square Park, near the site of the Triangle Shirtwaist Co., which caught fire in 1911, killing 140-plus workers. Many of those deaths later were attributed to neglected safety features, such as doors that were locked inside the factory. Full Story

 

Auto strike idles more than 50 GM factories and warehouses

DETROIT (AP) — More than 49,000 members of the United Auto Workers went on strike Monday against General Motors, bringing more than 50 factories and parts warehouses to a standstill in the union’s first walkout against the No. 1 U.S. automaker in over a decade.

Workers left factories and formed picket lines shortly after midnight in the dispute over a new four-year contract. The union’s top negotiator said in a letter to the company that the strike could have been averted had the company made its latest offer sooner. Full Story

Other articles of interest

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Most Hated Stock Market Bull can’t be stopped by weak economy

Permabear – A Special Kind Of A Stupid One

Technology Driven Deflation Will Kill The Inflation Monster

Nothing about 1987 stock market crash anniversary

Nickel Stocks Has Put In A long Term Bottom

AMD vs Intel

BitCoin VS Precious Metals

Stock Market Crash Of 1929

Stock Market Crash Of 1929

What was the ‘Stock Market Crash Of 1929’

The Stock Market Crash of 1929 began on October 24. While it is remembered for the panic selling in the first week, the largest falls occurred in the following two years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average did not bottom out until July 8, 1932, by which time it had fallen 89% from its September 1929 peak, making it the biggest bear market in Wall Street’s history. The Dow Jones did not return to its 1929 high until November 1954.

BREAKING DOWN ‘Stock Market Crash Of 1929’

The stock market crash of 1929 followed a bull market which had seen the Dow Jones rise 400% in five years. But with industrial companies trading at price-earnings ratios of 15, valuations did not appear unreasonable after a decade of record productivity growth in manufacturing – that is until you take into account the public utility holding companies.

By 1929, thousands of electricity companies had been consolidated into holding companies which were themselves owned by other holding companies, which controlled about two-thirds of American industry. Ten layers separated the top and bottom of some of these complex highly leveraged pyramids. As the Federal Trade Commission reported in 1928, the unfair practices these holding companies were involved in — like bilking subsidiaries through service contracts and fraudulent accounting involving depreciation and inflated property values — were a “menace to the investor.”

Full Story

 

A brief history of the 1929 stock market crash

  • The stock market crashed in 1929, plummeting into a correction.
  • Margin buying, lack of legal protections, overpriced stocks and Fed policy contributed to the crash.
  • There are ways to protect investors can protect a portfolio from downturns.

On October 16, 1929, Yale economist Irving Fisher wrote in the New York Times that “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.” Eight days later, on October 24, 1929, the stock market began a four-day crash on what became known as Black Thursday. This crash cost investors more than World War I and was one of the catalysts for the Great Depression. Irving Fisher’s declaration went down as the worst stock market prediction of all time.

Before the 1929 stock market crash: Risks and warning signs

Hindsight is always 20/20 but in the Roaring Twenties, optimism and affluence had risen like never before. The economy grew by 42% (real GDP went from $688 billion in 1920 to $977 billion in 1929), average income rose by about $1,500 and unemployment stayed below 4%. In the wake of World War I, the U.S. was producing nearly half of global output and mass production made consumer goods like refrigerators, washing machines, radios and vacuums accessible to the average household. Investing in stocks became like baseball – a national pastime. As newspaper headlines trumpeted stories about teachers, chauffeurs and maids making millions in the stock market, concerns about risk evaporated.

Full Story

 

Why The 1929 Stock Market Crash Could Happen In 2018?

As U.S. stocks continue soaring to record high after record high, investors anticipating an inevitable plunge have yet another cause for sleepless nights. The CAPE ratio, a measure of stock valuations devised by Nobel Laureate economist Robert Shiller of Yale University, is now at a higher level than it was before the Great Crash of 1929the Financial Times reports, adding that the only time the CAPE was even higher preceded the dotcom crash of 2000-02. However, the FT notes, there are some differences between 1929 and 2018 that make the CAPE parallel less terrifying for investors.

From their previous bear market lows reached in intraday trading on March 6, 2009, through their closing values on January 12, 2018, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) has gained 318% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has advanced 299%. Regarding the CAPE valuation analysis, there are several key limitations.

Drawbacks of CAPE

According to investment manager Rob Arnott, the founder, chairman and CEO of Research Associates, CAPE has been on an upward trend over time. This makes sense both to him and to the FT since the U.S. as progressed from being essentially an emerging market to the world’s dominant economy during the course of more than a century. As a result, both believe that an increasing earnings multiple for U.S. stocks would be justified. While the current value of CAPE is above its long term trend line, the difference is much smaller than in 1929, as Arnott’s detailed research paper shows.

Full Story