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Huge amounts of money have abandoned the marketplace, suggesting the audience is panicking at the incorrect time. History illustrates the Crowd is not right over the long term; they undergo moments of success but these minutes dwarf years of declines when the markets take off, they’re made to survive.
The Dow Jones market has now dipped under 27K (on monthly basis), and so There’s a fantastic chance that one of the 2 results we prefer can come to pass:
The Dow falls fast and hard into the 25,500 into 26,000 ranges, the audience stampedes and in doing so produce a beautiful long-term chance for Tactical Investor. The industry pull-back a little and after those tendencies sideways and in doing this pushes our signs to the oversold ranges.
That’s the reason the rewards are very significant and that’s the reason there’s not any reward, but it requires effort to stay calm in the face of fear although it requires no effort. Mass Psychology shows you shouldn’t follow the herd since they do the incorrect thing at the ideal time.
Before we get in the perspective lets look at what we have stated over the last few months:
The strategy under these circumstances is to make use of pullbacks to start places in businesses; the more powerful the pullback, the greater the chance. We can see indications which 2018 ought to be a fantastic season for those markets. Individuals awaiting the entry points will likely be left.
They wish they’d purchased, as they did back in 2009, 2015, 2018 and currently in 2020 and will return at the entrance points. If push comes to shove, they bend and drop for the exact same play, although the audience never learns they state that they need to try out something fresh.
It requires a particular sort of dumb to be a Permabear; the one that a million hard slaps won’t change.
Permabears have a death wish; for nothing else could describe this means of thinking, they’re begging to be taken to the cleaners. A simple evaluation of any term graph will establish that being a Permabear is not likely to pay off. There’s not a single long term graph that may prove that carrying a position, in the long term, has paid off.
Copper continues to devote a pattern and we all guess it won’t be long then until the markets burst, after the MACD’s on the graphs encounter a crossover.
In the event the market pulls back, it is a bonus, and that is precisely why we also adopt the position that if the trend is upward; the more powerful the stalks, the greater the chance. Because the tendency is upward pullbacks should be looked at as Christmas bonuses. Pullbacks may be used to start or add to the present rankings of one.
An individual can observe that from crashes, corrections that are powerful or a long-term perspective, are not anything but purchasing opportunities. Buy when there is blood flowing on the roads once the herd turns off and run to your life.
As stated by the alternative Dow Theory, when the Dow utility commerce to fresh highs, it suggests the general market will follow suit sooner than after.
At this point, anyone may probably get their Dow Jones predictions wrong, as the international economic aftermath of the coronavirus can’t be anticipated while the crisis persists.
On the flip side, an analysis of the index’s components and its own historical behaviour during and after certain disasters could stage investors in the right direction when it comes to drafting a potential Dow Jones index forecast for 2020.
So far, the major stock indices across the world have lost a significant portion of their value, with the DJIA falling by nearly 30 percent, followed with the S&P 500 that has lost nearly 28 per cent and the FTSE 100 whose worth has dropped by 26 per cent since February 20, when the markets starting falling off a cliff without any signs of recovery on the horizon.
However, no academic could predict a worldwide pandemic like the coronavirus outbreak because the ultimate cause for a worldwide recession, and to be honest, that would?
-Or worse, will the Dow Jones go up anywhere near its pre-coronavirus degree in the not too distant future?
Many economists have been warning that a possible recession was right at the corner, pointing out to many variables and deploying notions. These included a possible passive-investment bubble, the deceleration of the global market because of a supply-demand imbalance, and possibly damaging aftermath of this continuing (yet paused) US-China trade warfare.
Dow Jones forecast for July 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of July 25735. Maximum value 26639, while minimum 23270. The averaged index value for month 25100. Index at the end 24755, change for July -3.8%.
DJIA forecast for August 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of August 24755. Maximum value 25241, while minimum 22383. The averaged index value for month 24048. Index at the end 23812, change for August -3.8%.
Dow Jones forecast for September 2020.
The forecast for the beginning of September 23812. Maximum value 25498, while minimum 22612. The averaged index value for month 23994. Index at the end 24055, change for September 1.0%. Read more
This Dow Jones forecast for 2020 and 2021 relies on our 2 major indicators: Treasury prices as well as the Russell 2000. The first one states that’danger on’ is currently returning to markets, another one was’risk-on’ is starting as soon as the Russell 2000 index crosses 1625 points.
Based on the components within this guide we conclude that the likelihood of stock markets moving greater in 2020 and 2021 is large. Our Dow Jones forecast is bullish for 2020 and 2021. This implies that we can reasonably anticipate returns in stock markets.
We strongly recommend readers to subscribe to our free newsletter as we will be publishing those high potential multi-baggers we identify in 2020.
Our prediction to the Dow Jones is bullish for 2020 and 2021! We predict a peak to 32,000 points at the Dow Jones in 2020 and the index will rise further in 2021.
What we are interested in is to understand whether the stock bull market is the place to be spent in for 2020 and 2021. We want to be invested in bull market trends, and this will be helped with by the Dow Jones forecast.
As said before we’re watching out of markets that eventually become a multi-bagger in 6 to 9 months time. We dedicated earlier Forecasting The 3 Top Opportunities Per Year Becomes InvestingHaven’s Mission. We can know in which way to look for all these returns that are extraordinary if we get the level tendency.
The Coronavirus issue is going to be blown out of all proportions and it will be made to look like the mother of all pandemics. In fact, we are seeing individuals that are not qualified to make projections on the rate this virus will spread, stating that millions upon millions will be affected. This could be true, but most of the experts making these proclamations have no background in biology or virology; their main qualification is that they have a PhD in BS.
We feel this is a test by the big players that control most of the media outlets to see how far the truth can be stretched and so far it’s working marvellously. It is estimated that eight corporations control the bulk of the media in the US.
Now people are being checked with thermometers to see if their temp is above normal and an above-normal temperature has now become the litmus test for the Coronavirus; voodoo science at its best. This is one of the most retarded medical tests of all time, but no one seems to notice; a real-life depiction of “Pluto’s Allegory of the cave”.
CDC estimates that the burden of illness during the 2018–2019 season included an estimated 35.5 million people getting sick with influenza, 16.5 million people going to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 hospitalizations, and 34,200 deaths from influenza (Table 1). The number of influenza-associated illnesses that occurred last season was similar to the estimated number of influenza-associated illnesses during the 2012–2013 influenza season when an estimated 34 million people had symptomatic influenza illness6. http://bit.ly/2UMJjMG
In comparison to the flu virus, the Coronavirus has caused a minimal amount of damage yet it has received 100X more coverage than the flu virus, which resulted in 34.200 deaths (and only US data is being used); the current death toll of the Coronavirus stands at 1113 (based on the latest data). It’s no laughing matter, but it still pales in comparison to those caused by the flu.
Worldwide, tobacco use causes more than 7 million deaths per year.2 If the pattern of smoking all over the globe doesn’t change, more than 8 million people a year will die from diseases related to tobacco use by 2030. http://bit.ly/2wcEl1s
Many of the masks that individuals are wearing are not that useful against viruses and even the masks that might provide protection need to be worn correctly. http://bit.ly/2HklQKB. Other experts state that masks are useless as the virus is spread through the eyes. http://bit.ly/2SCjfkw
We feel the technique being used here is the one that comes from the story “the boy who cried wolf” from Aesop’s Fables. The idea here we think is to push the crowd to the edge over a situation that while troublesome is not as bad as it is being made out to be. When the masses discover this, they won’t be too happy so the next time it happens, they won’t react in the same manner as the assumption will be “this is a big fuss over nothing” and that is precisely when things will run amok. For the record, we hope we are wrong.
At some point in time, something is bound to occur as humans are destroying this planet at an unprecedented rate. If any other creature took the same path, it would be labelled a virus, but “humans” are the so-called chosen ones so they can do whatever they see fit to do.
The equation must balance, and it always does; it just a question of time. However, time is also the only teacher that kills all its students without fail. This discussion is beyond the scope of this publication, so we will stop here.
Hence we feel that everyone, including individuals we once thought based their ideas on logic, are pushing out information with one goal in mind; they want to create a stampede, and they succeeded as the masses always fall for the same ploy. The mass mindset refuses to look at the data in a cool manner after the seeds of doubt are implanted; it’s just a matter of time before the crowd cracks and gives in to far-fetched scenarios
There is always one backbreaking correction before the end of the bull market as this bull market is extremely unusual in terms of its duration, it will likely experience two such events before dying of old age. The current correction could fall under the backbreaking category. The coronavirus is just the trigger for such an event. If it were not the coronavirus, some other event would have been found to justify the correction.
What’s going to happen now is that the masses will panic and regret it when the markets recoup. However, they will then falsely assume that the next mega correction will follow the same path, and when its time to bail out, they will continue to buy, and we all know what happens after that. At a certain point, buy the dip does not work, and that point is reached when the masses turn euphoria.
Backbreaking corrections are always painful; hence the term backbreaking; however, unlike the old days, one can’t tell which correction will turn into the backbreaking event. Look at how many times the market conned the bears over the past ten years into shorting and 90% of those shorts turned to massive losses as the market reversed course just as fast.
Even if you have one big home run, it will not cover the 90% lose rate, and more importantly, we doubt that most of the bears had the staying power to hang in there until their bets paid off. The markets are controlled by machines now, and these machines are programmed to start selling when specific targets are hit, and one selloff selling triggers another set of selling until the cycle ends. The cycle will end, and the markets will rise for no bull market has ended on a note of uncertainty. However, keep in mind these machines are programmed by humans; hence, the only difference now is that instead of humans pressing the sell button, machines are doing it.
The media will push massive stories now talking about the upcoming bear market, ignore this noise and focus on one event; the masses were not euphoric when the markets started selling off.
Now try to spot the great depression, Black Monday.etc. Every one of this end of the world events proved to be a buying opportunity, and that includes the notorious crash of 2008, which proved to the mother of all buying opportunities. If you look at all those “end of the world” events closely, they are blips in an otherwise massive upward trend.
There are always going to be days, weeks and sometimes months when the markets are down, but ultimately the market has trended in one direction and that is “up”. Massive fortunes were made by viewing these disaster type events through a bullish lens. We also have Mass Psychology and the Trend Indicator on our side, both of which indicate that this downtrend at most could turn out be the backbreaking correction we spoke of recently. Every Bull Market experiences at least one and 90% of the traders falsely assume that this event marks the beginning of an extended bearish trend.
The markets always return to the mean and hence the saying the greater the deviation from the mean the better the opportunity. History clearly illustrates that ultimately, the market trends in one direction only (up).
The guys predicting the demise of the world will have to crawl under the rock they emerged from when this incident passes away as has been the case with all the previous end of the world scenarios. The current pullback/crash should be viewed through a bullish lens for the long term trader.
This could prove to be a fantastic buying opportunity for traders willing to take a risk. Don’t focus on the short term but on the long term, history indicates that the markets have an uncanny ability to trend upwards. Bears that have been beating the markets will crash have a dismal long term record. Markets trend upwards once the dust settles and this time will prove to be no different
Take a look at how many people die a day from other causes and the flu http://bit.ly/32wVaQA
Courtesy of Tactical Investor
Stocks surged in the final minutes of trading on Monday, snapping back from one of the worst weeks for global markets since the 2008 financial crisis as investors seized on promises that the world’s governments would step in to help if the global economy was slammed by the outbreak of the coronavirus.
The S&P 500 jumped 4.6 percent, the biggest single-day leap since late December 2018. The rally followed news that central bankers from the world’s biggest economies would join a conference call with Group of 7 finance ministers on Tuesday to discuss a response to the outbreak, fueling expectations among investors that governments might lower interest rates in tandem.
“It has already stoked expectations of a coordinated cut,” Roberto Perli, a former Fed researcher who is now an economist at Cornerstone Macro, said in an email. “If it doesn’t happen, it will only add to market volatility.”
But Mr. Perli did not see it as a sign that a simultaneous cut with other global central banks was necessarily coming. Nor did Seth Carpenter, another former Fed researcher, now at UBS. “The rally in equities today has perversely probably made it easier for the Fed to sit back and wait to see what happens,” he said in an email. Full Story
Although China said last Friday that half of major industrial firms in Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shanghai were back to work after the coronavirus quarantine, Gavekal Research analyst Andrew Batson notes few are operating at capacity. Batson examined traffic congestion in China’s largest wealthiest cities, coal use at six major power producers, and property sales volumes across 30 major Chinese cities. While each measure has stabilized after plummeting since mid-January, all remain significantly depressed.
Batson’s findings suggest the impact of the coronavirus outbreak is far from priced into financial markets, meaning stocks could have further to fall after Monday’s brutal selloff.
So far this week the S&P 500 has tumbled 4.4%, erasing this year’s gains and leaving the index down 1.2% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, has dropped 4.4% and is down 3% this year. The turmoil began Monday following news over the weekend that the virus is spreading beyond China. A surge of cases were reported in South Korea, Iran and Italy. The World Health Organization said in its latest update Monday that outside of China, there were 2074 cases of coronavirus and 23 deaths in 28 countries.
The economy as a whole still looks to be operating at less than half of normal capacity, Batson says, adding that although those figures should continue to pick up, “a full return to normal still awaits a definitive all-clear signal.” Full Story
Financial markets around the globe slumped on Monday as news of the Italian coronavirus outbreak wiped £62bn off the value of the FTSE 100 and shares on Wall Street tumbled.
Shares came under heavy selling pressure in key markets as analysts warned that the threat of tougher quarantine measures outside China to prevent the spread of the disease would hit company profits by hitting supply chains and consumer demand. Investors rushed to buy “safe haven” investments such as gold to protect against steep losses on the stock markets, sending the price of the precious metal to a seven-year high of $1,683 (£1,303) an ounce.
US stock markets had their worst day in two years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by over 1,000 points, or about 3%, in New York as investors in the world’s largest economy priced in the possibility of a deeper global economic shock.
In a note to investors Goldman Sachs cut its US growth forecast from 1.4% to just 1.2% for the first quarter. “An increasing amount of companies [are] suggesting potential production cuts should supply chain disruptions persist into Q2 or later,” wrote Jan Hatzius, Goldman’s chief US economist
The FTSE 100 index in London lost 247 points to 7,156.83, a 3.3% drop and its worst worst percentage fall since January 2016. Among the worst-hit stocks on the list of the UK’s biggest public companies was the budget airline easyJet, which lost £1bn in value as the stock fell by more than 16%. Full Story
NEW YORK (AP) — Democratic presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard says federal authorities must release the findings of their investigation into the Saudi government’s role in the Sept. 11 attacks.
The Hawaii congresswoman said Tuesday in New York City that families who lost loved ones in the attacks “want the truth, and they deserve the truth.”
Gabbard was joined by victims’ relatives who have filed a federal lawsuit seeking the release of documents that they believe link the attackers to Saudi government officials.
She told family members gathered at a museum near the World Trade Center that it’s time to hold U.S. leaders accountable “for withholding the truth from the American people.”
Messages seeking comment were left with the U.S. Department of Justice and with an attorney for the Saudi government. Full Story
Hillary Clinton has kept a relatively low profile since her embarrassing 2016 election defeat, popping up only occasionally to make out-of-touch elitist comments that confirm why she lost. So it was somewhat surprising to hear her weigh in on the 2020 Democratic primary with a truly bizarre comment about (of all people) Tulsi Gabbard.
Clinton accused the Hawaii congresswoman of being groomed by outside forces, saying: “I think they’ve got their eye on somebody who is currently in the Democratic primary and are grooming her to be the third-party candidate … She’s the favorite of the Russians.” There is some dispute about whether Clinton meant it was the Russians or Republicans who were pushing a third-party Gabbard candidacy, but a Clinton spokesman asked about the comments replied “if the nesting doll fits”, clearly implying it was dastardly Russians.
Gabbard immediately hit back hard, calling Clinton (accurately) “the queen of warmongers, embodiment of corruption, and personification of the rot that has sickened the Democratic party for so long”. While hosts of The View backed up Clinton, calling Gabbard a “useful idiot”, others such as the Vermont senator Bernie Sanders and South Bend’s mayor, Pete Buttigieg, suggested that Clinton ought to have had some evidence before implying something so outrageous about a Democratic elected official.
But it was typical Clinton. Paranoia about Russian influence has been ubiquitous among the Clinton set since 2016, in part because it helps to explain how the loss to Donald Trump wasn’t really Clinton’s fault. Full Story
Gabbard’s unorthodox positions and conflicts with fellow Democrats could emerge as stumbling blocks in her campaignTom McCarthy in New YorkPresidential hopeful Tulsi Gabbard addresses an audience during a meet and greet, 17 February 2019, in North Hampton, New Hampshire.
Presidential hopeful Tulsi Gabbard addresses an audience during a meet and greet, on 17 February 2019, in North Hampton, New Hampshire. Photograph: Steven Senne/AP
Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard is not afraid to take a stand.
For a promising young Democrat in 2015, one of the seemingly worst places to be was on the wrong side of Hillary Clinton, who – barring some bizarre twist – was on her way to becoming America’s next president.
Yet Gabbard, then a 34-year-old second-term congresswoman from Hawaii with both combat experience and a radiant smile, had the temerity to cross Clinton by calling for additional debates between Clinton and her opponent in the Democratic primary race, Bernie Sanders. Full Story
Nobel Prize 2019: Three scientists who discovered how cells sense and adapt to oxygen levels.
Sir Peter Ratcliffe, of the University of Oxford and Francis Crick Institute, William Kaelin, of Harvard, and Gregg Semenza, of Johns Hopkins University share the physiology or medicine prize.
Their work is leading to new treatments for anaemia and even cancer.
The role of oxygen-sensing is also being investigated in diseases from heart failure to chronic lung disease.
The Swedish Academy, which awards the prize, said: “The fundamental importance of oxygen has been understood for centuries, but how cells adapt to changes in levels of oxygen has long been unknown.”
Oxygen levels vary in the body, particularly:
And when they drop, cells rapidly have to adapt their metabolism.
Why does this matter? The oxygen-sensing ability of the body has a role in the immune system and the earliest stages of development inside the womb.
If oxygen levels are low, it can trigger the production of red blood cells or the construction of blood vessels to remedy this.
More red blood cells mean the body is able to carry more oxygen and is why athletes train at altitude.
So, drugs that mimic it may be an effective treatment for anaemia. Full STory
Academic institutions in West Africa have increasingly been facing allegations of sexual harassment by lecturers. This type of abuse is said to be endemic, but it’s almost never proven.
After gathering dozens of testimonies, BBC Africa Eye sent undercover journalists posing as students inside the University of Lagos and the University of Ghana. Full Story
The students sit with their satchels on their desks, eager to get home after another long day of seven 50-minute classes. They listen patiently as their teacher makes a few announcements about tomorrow’s timetable. Then, as every day, the teacher’s final words: “OK everybody, today’s cleaning roster. Lines one and two will clean the classroom. Lines three and four, the corridor and stairs. And line five will clean the toilets.” Full Story